{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","ticker":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.42863020300865173,"normalized_volume":0.3322453200817108,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above $0.11","top_outcome_probability":0.24,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.24,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-08T01:49:24.690253Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T01:49:24.690253Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.001583Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.11","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.11","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.11 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.11","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.11/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":2.0,"volume_24hr":2.0,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":2.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.5012959837913513,"normalized_volume":0.3757234513759613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T01:51:21.867809Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T01:49:24.921693Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.06","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.06","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.06 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.06","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.06/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.07","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.07","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.07 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.07","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.07/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.08","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.08","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.08 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.08","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.08/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.09","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.09","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.09 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.09","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.09/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.10","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.10","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.10 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.10","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.10/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.12","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.12","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.12 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.12","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.12/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.13","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.13","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.13 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.13","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.13/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.14","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.14","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.14 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.14","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.14/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.15","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.15","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.15 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.15","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.15/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.16","event_id":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","slug":"KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14-T0.16","question":"Will the DeepSeek average token price be above 0.16 at 10AM ET on Aug 14, 2026","group_item_title":"Above $0.16","description":"If the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens is above $0.16/mTok on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of Ornn - DeepSeek average price per million tokens as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/tokens). \n\nThis market will resolve based on the most recent settled print on Aug 14, 2026 at 10AM ET. Ornn settles each daily print approximately 12 hours after that day's 00:00 UTC close, the settled print available at Expiration Time may reference the prior calendar day's Underlying, not the Expiration Date itself.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-14T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T15:50:23.191226Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T22:03:25.169820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeeptokend/deepseek-average-token-price-on-aug-14-2026/kxdeeptokend-26aug14","event_title":"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDEEPTOKEND-26AUG14","as_of":"2026-08-08T07:00:15.875389Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"DeepSeek average token price on Aug 14, 2026\" — top market at 24% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}