{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEFAULT-27DEC31","ticker":"KXDEFAULT-27DEC31","slug":"KXDEFAULT-27DEC31","title":"US defaults before 2028?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2338.0,"volume_24hr":2338.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.611713409423828,"normalized_volume":16.58277702331543,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":402.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Defaults","top_outcome_probability":0.06,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2338.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-22T00:22:40.203205Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T00:22:40.203205Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T22:13:10.036570Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdefault/us-defaults-before-2028/kxdefault-27dec31","chart_24h":[1570.0,1570.0,2338.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEFAULT-27DEC31","event_id":"KXDEFAULT-27DEC31","slug":"KXDEFAULT-27DEC31","question":"Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2027?","group_item_title":"Defaults","description":"If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":2338.0,"volume_24hr":2338.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":2338.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.51797866821289,"normalized_volume":18.733572006225586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T00:43:58.594563Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T00:22:40.465751Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T22:13:10.222179Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdefault/us-defaults-before-2028/kxdefault-27dec31","event_title":"US defaults before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDEFAULT-27DEC31","as_of":"2026-08-22T02:14:59.764832Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US defaults before 2028?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}