{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDEFAULT-29DEC31","as_of":"2026-10-24T03:25:56.676036Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US defaults before 2030?\" — 12% as of 2026-08-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDEFAULT-29DEC31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdefault/us-defaults-before-2030/kxdefault-29dec31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEFAULT-29DEC31","ticker":"KXDEFAULT-29DEC31","slug":"KXDEFAULT-29DEC31","title":"US defaults before 2030?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.12869305908679962,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Defaults","top_outcome_probability":0.12,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-23T20:16:20.196025Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T20:16:20.196025Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T22:13:06.184524Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdefault/us-defaults-before-2030/kxdefault-29dec31","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEFAULT-29DEC31","event_id":"KXDEFAULT-29DEC31","slug":"KXDEFAULT-29DEC31","question":"Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2029?","group_item_title":"Defaults","description":"If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T09:18:59.737877Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T09:18:59.737877Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T22:13:06.370028Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdefault/us-defaults-before-2030/kxdefault-29dec31","event_title":"US defaults before 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}