{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28","ticker":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28","slug":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28","title":"Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T17:07:00Z","end_date":"2028-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34733.14,"volume_24hr":34521.229999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.28657531738281,"normalized_volume":24.427213668823242,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":24571.829999999998,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New Hampshire","top_outcome_probability":0.67,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.67,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":11817.87,"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:38:25.512633Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:38:25.512633Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T17:19:23.890114Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemfirstcontest/which-state-will-vote-first-in-the-2028-democratic-presidential-primary/kxdemfirstcontest-28","chart_24h":[280.91,349.22,390.21,395.21,393.21,380.2,186.03,183.3,22873.63,30162.91,31312.409999999996,34228.11,34418.02,34490.02],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-NH","event_id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28","slug":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-NH","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states  after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.32999999999999996],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T17:07:00Z","end_date":"2028-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":11817.87,"volume_24hr":11817.87,"prob_24h_change":0.67,"volume_24h_change":11817.87,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.52363586425781,"normalized_volume":22.88521957397461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:26:13.548552Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:22:47.228222Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T17:19:24.034045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemfirstcontest/which-state-will-vote-first-in-the-2028-democratic-presidential-primary/kxdemfirstcontest-28","event_title":"Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-SC","event_id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28","slug":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-SC","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"South Carolina","description":"If South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states  after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T17:07:00Z","end_date":"2028-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2625.05,"volume_24hr":2415.14,"prob_24h_change":-0.11999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":2136.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.51401138305664,"normalized_volume":16.132137298583984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:38:25.679560Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:38:25.679560Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T17:19:24.034045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemfirstcontest/which-state-will-vote-first-in-the-2028-democratic-presidential-primary/kxdemfirstcontest-28","event_title":"Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-IA","event_id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28","slug":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-IA","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":"If Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states  after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T17:07:00Z","end_date":"2028-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":17342.01,"volume_24hr":17342.01,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":17342.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.48853302001953,"normalized_volume":24.7952823638916,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T23:41:12.986818Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T23:38:49.700156Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T17:19:24.034045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemfirstcontest/which-state-will-vote-first-in-the-2028-democratic-presidential-primary/kxdemfirstcontest-28","event_title":"Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-NV","event_id":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28","slug":"KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-NV","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Nevada holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Nevada","description":"If Nevada holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states  after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T17:07:00Z","end_date":"2028-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2948.21,"volume_24hr":2946.21,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":2946.21,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.780452728271484,"normalized_volume":16.611238479614258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:40:58.147368Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:38:25.679560Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T17:19:24.034045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemfirstcontest/which-state-will-vote-first-in-the-2028-democratic-presidential-primary/kxdemfirstcontest-28","event_title":"Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28","as_of":"2026-07-29T03:47:38.980462Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?\" — top market at 10% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}