{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","ticker":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","slug":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":651356.2,"volume_24hr":3069.92,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.99978256225586,"normalized_volume":45.3925895690918,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":307052.13,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before September 1, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.39,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-866.07,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:10:52.042012Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:10:52.042012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdiazout/miguel-daz-canel-departure-announced/kxdiazout-mdc","chart_24h":[14965.09,13706.679999999998,13742.019999999999,13003.869999999999,13008.3,13034.189999999999,13234.189999999999,13186.130000000001,14034.140000000001,14026.18,14057.25,12798.34,11857.58,2659.96,2690.37,2594.79,1957.5800000000002,1942.47,1896.3899999999999,2896.39,2931.39,2964.3399999999997,2958.3399999999997,2988.3399999999997,3066.7299999999996,3066.7299999999996,3069.92],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26SEP01","event_id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","slug":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26SEP01","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z?","group_item_title":"Before September 1, 2026","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.\n\nClarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":78902.32,"volume_24hr":629.59,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":-866.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.977629661560059,"normalized_volume":37.021541595458984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:12:14.701724Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:10:52.165561Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdiazout/miguel-daz-canel-departure-announced/kxdiazout-mdc","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26AUG01","event_id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","slug":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26AUG01","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z?","group_item_title":"Before August 1, 2026","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.\n\nClarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","volume":21333.21,"volume_24hr":192.63,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":-1729.4299999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.659238815307617,"normalized_volume":28.931297302246094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:18:27.439989Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:18:27.439989Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T19:13:18.891199Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdiazout/miguel-daz-canel-departure-announced/kxdiazout-mdc","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01","event_id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","slug":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?","group_item_title":"Before July 1, 2026","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.\n\nClarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":148114.12,"volume_24hr":2247.7,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-9400.060000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.601503372192383,"normalized_volume":41.27234649658203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:22:44.406885Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T05:19:58.827181Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T19:13:18.891199Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdiazout/miguel-daz-canel-departure-announced/kxdiazout-mdc","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26MAR01","event_id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","slug":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26MAR01","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-03-01T15:00:00.000Z?","group_item_title":"Before March 1, 2026","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before March 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-03T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-03-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-01T15:00:00Z","volume":48437.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.8868408203125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:45.999121Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:45.999121Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdiazout/miguel-daz-canel-departure-announced/kxdiazout-mdc","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26APR01","event_id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","slug":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26APR01","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-04-01T14:00:00.000Z?","group_item_title":"Before April 1, 2026","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before April 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-03T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-04-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T14:00:00Z","volume":186429.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.88284683227539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:45.999121Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:45.999121Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdiazout/miguel-daz-canel-departure-announced/kxdiazout-mdc","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUN01","event_id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","slug":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUN01","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-06-01T14:00:00.000Z?","group_item_title":"Before June 1, 2026","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.\n\nClarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-03T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T14:00:00Z","volume":281608.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.847354888916016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T14:10:34.441689Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T03:10:06.164316Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdiazout/miguel-daz-canel-departure-announced/kxdiazout-mdc","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26MAY01","event_id":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC","slug":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26MAY01","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-05-01T14:00:00.000Z?","group_item_title":"Before May 1, 2026","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-03T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","volume":121397.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.904781341552734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:45.999121Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:45.999121Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdiazout/miguel-daz-canel-departure-announced/kxdiazout-mdc","event_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDIAZOUT-MDC","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:03:23.863789Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?\" — top market at 6% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}