{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-10-07T02:28:59.806251Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?\" — 12 markets; highest \"Below $5.70\" at 58% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","ticker":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5886.6,"volume_24hr":1193.75,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.724092483520508,"normalized_volume":20.303974151611328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4670.35,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Below $5.70","top_outcome_probability":0.58,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.16999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":561.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T22:32:12.468250Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T22:32:12.468250Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.334271Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","chart_24h":[691.75,541.75,248.75,122.0,123.75,683.75,573.75,561.75,562.75,1122.75,1193.75],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T5.70","event_id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T5.70","question":"Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.70?","group_item_title":"Below $5.70","description":"If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $5.70, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis is a touch market. 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If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.12000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":61.02,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.303278923034668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T05:24:30.596193Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T05:24:30.596193Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.417775Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","event_title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T4.70","event_id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T4.70","question":"Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.70?","group_item_title":"Below $4.70","description":"If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $4.70, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis is a touch market. 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If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":165.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-150.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.135793685913086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T02:21:28.856214Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T02:21:28.856214Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.417775Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","event_title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T4.50","event_id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T4.50","question":"Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.50?","group_item_title":"Below $4.50","description":"If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $4.50, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":770.95,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-110.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.762001037597656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T01:25:29.726104Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T01:25:29.726104Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.417775Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","event_title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T3.90","event_id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T3.90","question":"Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.90?","group_item_title":"Below $3.90","description":"If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $3.90, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.9993987679481506,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T23:22:01.981167Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T23:22:01.981167Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.417775Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","event_title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T3.50","event_id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T3.50","question":"Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.50?","group_item_title":"Below $3.50","description":"If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $3.50, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1098.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.263107299804688,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T17:41:50.717292Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T17:41:50.717292Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.417775Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","event_title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T4.10","event_id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T4.10","question":"Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.10?","group_item_title":"Below $4.10","description":"If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $4.10, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.7899454832077026,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T10:17:46.011635Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T10:17:46.011635Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.417775Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","event_title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T3.70","event_id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T3.70","question":"Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.70?","group_item_title":"Below $3.70","description":"If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $3.70, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":644.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.02828598022461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T23:40:47.031202Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T23:40:47.031202Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.417775Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","event_title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T4.30","event_id":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31","slug":"KXDIESELMINY-26DEC31-T4.30","question":"Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.30?","group_item_title":"Below $4.30","description":"If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $4.30, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.09999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-07T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":611.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-293.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.817615509033203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T10:17:46.011635Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T10:17:46.011635Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T19:02:14.417775Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselminy/how-low-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/kxdieselminy-26dec31","event_title":"How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]}]}