{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","ticker":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","title":"Disney+ App Downloads in October","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42.33,"volume_24hr":39.33,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.21394681930542,"normalized_volume":3.831268072128296,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":42.33,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 75","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7.33,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:26:58.677748Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:26:58.677748Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.113489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdisneyapp/disney-app-downloads-in-october/kxdisneyapp-26nov08","chart_24h":[4.0,9.0,14.0,22.33,32.33,37.33,35.33,40.33,39.33],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T75","event_id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T75","question":"Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 75 ?","group_item_title":"Above 75","description":"If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 75 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":9.33,"volume_24hr":8.33,"prob_24h_change":-0.14,"volume_24h_change":7.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6453652381896973,"normalized_volume":1.6973546743392944,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:27:00.342547Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:27:00.342547Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdisneyapp/disney-app-downloads-in-october/kxdisneyapp-26nov08","event_title":"Disney+ App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T90","event_id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T90","question":"Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 90 ?","group_item_title":"Above 90","description":"If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41000000000000003],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.59,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8969413042068481,"normalized_volume":1.7899454832077026,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T11:09:38.811125Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T11:09:38.811125Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdisneyapp/disney-app-downloads-in-october/kxdisneyapp-26nov08","event_title":"Disney+ App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T95","event_id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T95","question":"Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 95 ?","group_item_title":"Above 95","description":"If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8969413042068481,"normalized_volume":1.7899454832077026,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T11:09:38.811125Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T11:09:38.811125Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdisneyapp/disney-app-downloads-in-october/kxdisneyapp-26nov08","event_title":"Disney+ App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T100","event_id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T100","question":"Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 100 ?","group_item_title":"Above 100","description":"If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8969413042068481,"normalized_volume":1.7899454832077026,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T06:50:07.513347Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T06:50:07.513347Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdisneyapp/disney-app-downloads-in-october/kxdisneyapp-26nov08","event_title":"Disney+ App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.4,0.4,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T105","event_id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T105","question":"Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 105 ?","group_item_title":"Above 105","description":"If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 105 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.29,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.15850551426410675,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T06:35:50.570552Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T06:35:50.570552Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdisneyapp/disney-app-downloads-in-october/kxdisneyapp-26nov08","event_title":"Disney+ App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T110","event_id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T110","question":"Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 110 ?","group_item_title":"Above 110","description":"If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T06:50:07.513347Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T06:50:07.513347Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdisneyapp/disney-app-downloads-in-october/kxdisneyapp-26nov08","event_title":"Disney+ App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T135","event_id":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08-T135","question":"Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 135 ?","group_item_title":"Above 135","description":"If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 135 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:15:56.729145Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:15:56.729145Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdisneyapp/disney-app-downloads-in-october/kxdisneyapp-26nov08","event_title":"Disney+ App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDISNEYAPP-26NOV08","as_of":"2026-10-02T11:17:54.444290Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Disney+ App Downloads in October\" — top market at 59% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}