{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","ticker":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1558.88,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.5807523727417,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1307.88,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 3.9%","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:22:24.459040Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:22:24.459040Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.812372Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.9","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.9","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 3.9%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.9% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.755331039428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.0","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.0","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 4.0%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.0% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.184260368347168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T23:49:09.836060Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T23:49:09.836060Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.1","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.1","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 4.1%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.1% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":400.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.184260368347168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T23:49:09.836060Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T23:49:09.836060Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.2","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.2","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 4.2%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.2% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.0441389083862305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T23:49:09.836060Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T23:49:09.836060Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.3","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.3","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 4.3%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.3% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":401.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.193556785583496,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T00:17:33.818211Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T00:17:33.818211Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.5","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.5","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 4.5%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.5% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":62.21,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.352231502532959,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.4","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.4","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 4.4%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.4% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":40.67,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.330580711364746,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.5","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.5","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 3.5%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.5% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.6","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.6","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 3.6%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.6% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.7","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.7","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 3.7%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.7% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.8","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.8","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 3.8%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.8% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.6","event_id":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","slug":"KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-4.6","question":"What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?","group_item_title":"Above 4.6%","description":"If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.6% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.\n\nIf the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-18T18:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-16T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-09T18:55:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T15:14:46.553338Z","added_at":"2026-09-18T18:40:46.927440Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdotplot/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026/kxdotplot-26dec","event_title":"Fed median dot plot in December 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDOTPLOT-26DEC","as_of":"2026-10-02T04:23:48.989970Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Fed median dot plot in December 2026\" — top market at 90% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}