{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG","ticker":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG","slug":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG","title":"Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T22:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2382.65,"volume_24hr":194.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.095352172851562,"normalized_volume":16.487503051757812,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1528.9099999999999,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.86,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-200.36,"updated_at":"2026-08-31T17:28:10.459066Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T17:28:10.459066Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T22:56:35.410491Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdriscollout/dan-driscoll-out-as-secretary-of-the-army/kxdriscollout-26aug","chart_24h":[394.36,394.36,194.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG-27JAN01","event_id":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG","slug":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG-27JAN01","question":"Will Dan Driscoll be out as Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Dan Driscoll leaves as Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDan Driscoll must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. He is treated as leaving on the date he ceases to hold the office according to official records, regardless of when that is announced or when he stops carrying out its duties.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure. It also includes the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T22:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1644.9,"volume_24hr":194.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-200.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.84857177734375,"normalized_volume":17.074649810791016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T17:28:10.572048Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T17:28:10.572048Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T22:56:35.674453Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdriscollout/dan-driscoll-out-as-secretary-of-the-army/kxdriscollout-26aug","event_title":"Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.86,0.86,0.86]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG-26OCT01","event_id":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG","slug":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG-26OCT01","question":"Will Dan Driscoll be out as Secretary of the Army before Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If Dan Driscoll leaves as Secretary of the Army before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDan Driscoll must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. He is treated as leaving on the date he ceases to hold the office according to official records, regardless of when that is announced or when he stops carrying out its duties.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure. It also includes the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.87,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T22:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","volume":703.31,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.385010719299316,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T18:45:48.087073Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T18:45:48.087073Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T22:56:35.674453Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdriscollout/dan-driscoll-out-as-secretary-of-the-army/kxdriscollout-26aug","event_title":"Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG-26NOV01","event_id":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG","slug":"KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG-26NOV01","question":"Will Dan Driscoll be out as Secretary of the Army before Nov 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 1, 2026","description":"If Dan Driscoll leaves as Secretary of the Army before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDan Driscoll must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. He is treated as leaving on the date he ceases to hold the office according to official records, regardless of when that is announced or when he stops carrying out its duties.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure. It also includes the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.52,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T22:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T04:59:00Z","volume":34.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.9626927375793457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T18:19:41.969316Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T18:19:41.969316Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T22:56:35.674453Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdriscollout/dan-driscoll-out-as-secretary-of-the-army/kxdriscollout-26aug","event_title":"Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDRISCOLLOUT-26AUG","as_of":"2026-08-31T19:35:47.641627Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?\" — top market at 86% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}