{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27","ticker":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27","slug":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27","title":"Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":286410.08,"volume_24hr":6872.77,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.37451934814453,"normalized_volume":42.726707458496094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":167360.11,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.07,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6139.59,"updated_at":"2026-07-13T14:18:59.746694Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T14:18:59.746694Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearthquakecalifornia/will-there-be-an-8-magnitude-earthquake-in-california-before-2027/kxearthquakecalifornia-27","chart_24h":[704.46,704.46,704.46,723.06,691.79,678.39,678.39,692.39,605.16,605.34,624.09,608.59,646.09,505.43,495.43,151.41,167.04,260.8,1188.1,6859.68],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27","event_id":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27","slug":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27","question":"Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-01T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":286410.08,"volume_24hr":6872.77,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":6139.59,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.532075881958008,"normalized_volume":44.28057098388672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-13T14:21:03.331477Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T14:19:00.806201Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearthquakecalifornia/will-there-be-an-8-magnitude-earthquake-in-california-before-2027/kxearthquakecalifornia-27","event_title":"Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27","as_of":"2026-07-13T14:21:12.348054Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?\" — top market at 7% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}