{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28","ticker":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28","slug":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28","title":"Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-21T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10600.48,"volume_24hr":1010.44,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.670087814331055,"normalized_volume":23.193071365356445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6999.15,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.04,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.1,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":792.08,"updated_at":"2026-08-02T05:12:21.372983Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T05:12:21.372983Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearthquakecalifornia/will-there-be-an-at-least-80-magnitude-earthquake-in-california-before-2028/kxearthquakecalifornia-28","chart_24h":[212.61,201.1,148.62,1010.44,1010.44],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28","event_id":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28","slug":"KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28","question":"Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?","group_item_title":"Before 2028","description":"If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-21T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-12-31T04:59:00Z","volume":10600.48,"volume_24hr":1010.44,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":792.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.325979232788086,"normalized_volume":26.74370765686035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T05:15:43.845103Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T05:12:22.160957Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearthquakecalifornia/will-there-be-an-at-least-80-magnitude-earthquake-in-california-before-2028/kxearthquakecalifornia-28","event_title":"Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28","as_of":"2026-08-02T12:48:51.958451Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}