{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30","ticker":"KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30","slug":"KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30","title":"8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25187.99,"volume_24hr":15.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.852363109588623,"normalized_volume":27.041858673095703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":15146.55,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2030","top_outcome_probability":0.57,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999898,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-58.5,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:15.360815Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:15.360815Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearthquakejapan/80-magnitude-earthquake-in-japan-before-2030/kxearthquakejapan-30","chart_24h":[49.94,50.94,40.01,45.01,14.01,6.0,15.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30","event_id":"KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30","slug":"KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30","question":"Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?","group_item_title":"Before 2030","description":"If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43000000000000005],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.1100000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":25187.99,"volume_24hr":15.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999898,"volume_24h_change":-58.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.0305705070495605,"normalized_volume":31.479379653930664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:23:58.819904Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:23:58.819904Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxearthquakejapan/80-magnitude-earthquake-in-japan-before-2030/kxearthquakejapan-30","event_title":"8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:29:05.712878Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?\" — top market at 57% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}