{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXETIASAPPLY-28","ticker":"KXETIASAPPLY-28","slug":"KXETIASAPPLY-28","title":"Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.779164433479309,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":12.04,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.82,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-16T21:18:54.646368Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T21:18:54.646368Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:13:42.596087Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxetiasapply/will-the-eus-etias-accept-applications-before-2028/kxetiasapply-28","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXETIASAPPLY-28","event_id":"KXETIASAPPLY-28","slug":"KXETIASAPPLY-28","question":"Will it be reported by the European Commission that the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from the European Commission qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.\n\nApplications must be open on the European Union's own official ETIAS platform, and a limited or phased opening counts provided any eligible traveler can apply.\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\nAn announced future start date, including one set by decision in the Official Journal\nTesting, or a pilot restricted to carriers, staff or officials\nApplications collected by a commercial or third-party website\nThe later date on which an ETIAS becomes required for entry","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":12.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.0529422760009766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["European Union"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:50:18.054114Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:50:18.054114Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T14:13:42.859291Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxetiasapply/will-the-eus-etias-accept-applications-before-2028/kxetiasapply-28","event_title":"Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXETIASAPPLY-28","as_of":"2026-10-01T22:29:05.529682Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?\" — top market at 82% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}