{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEXITPOLL-IND","ticker":"KXEXITPOLL-IND","slug":"KXEXITPOLL-IND","title":"Midterms: which party wins independents?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1208.81,"volume_24hr":1208.81,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.00617790222168,"normalized_volume":13.659069061279297,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1104.93,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic party","top_outcome_probability":0.95,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.95,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":8.81,"updated_at":"2026-09-17T15:06:18.747675Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T15:06:18.747675Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T02:15:33.084806Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxexitpoll/midterms-which-party-wins-independents/kxexitpoll-ind","chart_24h":[0.0,1207.77,1208.81],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEXITPOLL-IND-DEM","event_id":"KXEXITPOLL-IND","slug":"KXEXITPOLL-IND-DEM","question":"Will Democrats win independents in the exit poll?","group_item_title":"Democratic party","description":"If the Democratic Party wins independents in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, a party “wins” independents if it receives the higher reported share among that group in the national U.S. House exit poll. If the relevant parties are tied, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.\n\nCNN is the primary resolution source, using the applicable figure displayed at Nov 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If the figure is unavailable at that time, CNN will remain the primary source for 24 additional hours. After that, CBS and then ABC will be used, in that order, through Nov 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","volume":8.81,"volume_24hr":8.81,"prob_24h_change":0.95,"volume_24h_change":8.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.069791793823242,"normalized_volume":1.6230961084365845,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T15:21:35.470780Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T15:21:35.470780Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T02:15:33.268895Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxexitpoll/midterms-which-party-wins-independents/kxexitpoll-ind","event_title":"Midterms: which party wins independents?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.89,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXEXITPOLL-IND-REP","event_id":"KXEXITPOLL-IND","slug":"KXEXITPOLL-IND-REP","question":"Will Republicans win independents in the exit poll?","group_item_title":"Republican party","description":"If the Republican Party wins independents in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, a party “wins” independents if it receives the higher reported share among that group in the national U.S. House exit poll. If the relevant parties are tied, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.\n\nCNN is the primary resolution source, using the applicable figure displayed at Nov 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If the figure is unavailable at that time, CNN will remain the primary source for 24 additional hours. After that, CBS and then ABC will be used, in that order, through Nov 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-04T17:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","volume":1200.0,"volume_24hr":1200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":1200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.96023941040039,"normalized_volume":15.652485847473145,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T15:36:28.496312Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T15:36:28.496312Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T02:15:33.268895Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxexitpoll/midterms-which-party-wins-independents/kxexitpoll-ind","event_title":"Midterms: which party wins independents?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXEXITPOLL-IND","as_of":"2026-09-17T15:45:02.429471Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Midterms: which party wins independents?\" — top market at 9% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}