{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL","ticker":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL","slug":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL","title":"Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:37:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5986.570000000001,"volume_24hr":5892.81,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.104482650756836,"normalized_volume":17.492643356323242,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4867.81,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.15,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5349.93,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:40:55.204585Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:40:55.204585Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:44:04.415525Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfarageoutreform/nigel-farage-announces-departure-as-reform-uk-leader/kxfarageoutreform-26jul","chart_24h":[0.0,1.0,131.0,1019.94,1019.94,1119.94,2497.02,3486.7200000000003,3892.57,5892.81],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01","event_id":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL","slug":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01","question":"Will Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:37:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5349.93,"volume_24hr":5349.93,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":5349.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.189720153808594,"normalized_volume":20.6710205078125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:40:55.277615Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:40:55.277615Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:44:04.546906Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfarageoutreform/nigel-farage-announces-departure-as-reform-uk-leader/kxfarageoutreform-26jul","event_title":"Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-SEP01","event_id":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL","slug":"KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-SEP01","question":"Will Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.030000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:37:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":636.64,"volume_24hr":542.88,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":542.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.482975006103516,"normalized_volume":11.696188926696777,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:40:55.277615Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:40:55.277615Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:44:04.546906Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfarageoutreform/nigel-farage-announces-departure-as-reform-uk-leader/kxfarageoutreform-26jul","event_title":"Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL","as_of":"2026-07-08T00:52:29.616925Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?\" — top market at 15% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}