{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDREFORM-27","ticker":"KXFEDREFORM-27","slug":"KXFEDREFORM-27","title":"Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34135.810000000005,"volume_24hr":2659.8599999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.00585174560547,"normalized_volume":24.34622573852539,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":13034.28,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Dot Plot Omitted","top_outcome_probability":0.32,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":953.21,"updated_at":"2026-07-29T22:52:30.027299Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T22:52:30.027299Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedreform/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken/kxfedreform-27","chart_24h":[4.79,384.79,424.79,424.79,588.79,2179.6499999999996,2174.8599999999997,2659.8599999999997],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDREFORM-27-DPLO","event_id":"KXFEDREFORM-27","slug":"KXFEDREFORM-27-DPLO","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Dot Plot Omitted","description":"If a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections  after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":10672.95,"volume_24hr":958.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":953.21,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.77675437927246,"normalized_volume":22.390600204467773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T22:54:27.404297Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T22:52:30.279140Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedreform/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken/kxfedreform-27","event_title":"Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDREFORM-27-PRES","event_id":"KXFEDREFORM-27","slug":"KXFEDREFORM-27-PRES","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Presser Skipped","description":"If the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting  after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":10655.11,"volume_24hr":1701.86,"prob_24h_change":-0.35000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":1701.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.048553466796875,"normalized_volume":22.382526397705078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T22:54:27.404297Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T22:52:30.279140Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedreform/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken/kxfedreform-27","event_title":"Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.06,0.06,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDREFORM-27-FGUI","event_id":"KXFEDREFORM-27","slug":"KXFEDREFORM-27-FGUI","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement contains no forward-looking guidance regarding the likely future path of the federal funds rate before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Forward Guidance Removed","description":"If a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement contains no forward-looking guidance regarding the likely future path of the federal funds rate  after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-05T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-18T17:36:59Z","volume":3264.69,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.03782081604004,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-19T17:40:50.223807Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T19:02:11.930224Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedreform/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken/kxfedreform-27","event_title":"Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDREFORM-27-TMEA","event_id":"KXFEDREFORM-27","slug":"KXFEDREFORM-27-TMEA","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Trimmed Mean Emphasized","description":"If a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures  after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":2806.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.40711212158203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T21:55:04.748466Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T21:55:04.748466Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedreform/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken/kxfedreform-27","event_title":"Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDREFORM-27-REMO","event_id":"KXFEDREFORM-27","slug":"KXFEDREFORM-27-REMO","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors removes a Federal Reserve Bank president from office before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Reserve President Removed","description":"If the Board of Governors removes a Federal Reserve Bank president from office  after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6.55,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.063538670539856,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T07:06:13.500450Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T07:06:13.500450Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedreform/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken/kxfedreform-27","event_title":"Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFEDREFORM-27-REJE","event_id":"KXFEDREFORM-27","slug":"KXFEDREFORM-27-REJE","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Reserve President Rejected","description":"If the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president  after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-05T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6730.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.21988296508789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T22:52:30.279140Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T22:52:30.279140Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedreform/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken/kxfedreform-27","event_title":"Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFEDREFORM-27","as_of":"2026-07-29T23:29:34.437563Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?\" — top market at 11% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}