{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFISHBACKRUN-AR","as_of":"2026-10-28T17:45:31.962320Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?\" — 2 markets; highest \"Before Jan 1, 2027\" at 47% as of 2026-10-28 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFISHBACKRUN-AR","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfishbackrun/will-james-fishback-announce-a-run-for-public-office/kxfishbackrun-ar"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR","ticker":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR","slug":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR","title":"Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-10T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3007.16,"volume_24hr":2999.76,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.499893188476562,"normalized_volume":17.16716766357422,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1148.26,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.47,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.26999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1315.88,"updated_at":"2026-10-28T17:07:52.603528Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T17:07:52.603528Z","added_at":"2026-09-10T02:09:53.489302Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfishbackrun/will-james-fishback-announce-a-run-for-public-office/kxfishbackrun-ar","chart_24h":[0.0,2542.44,2559.76,2999.76],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR-27JAN01","event_id":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR","slug":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR-27JAN01","question":"Will James Fishback announce a run for any government office before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any government office in any election year.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-10T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1323.28,"volume_24hr":1315.88,"prob_24h_change":0.26999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":1315.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.871557235717773,"normalized_volume":16.08684730529785,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T17:21:47.115647Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T17:21:47.115647Z","added_at":"2026-09-10T02:09:53.596916Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfishbackrun/will-james-fishback-announce-a-run-for-public-office/kxfishbackrun-ar","event_title":"Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.47]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR-27JUL01","event_id":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR","slug":"KXFISHBACKRUN-AR-27JUL01","question":"Will James Fishback announce a run for any government office before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any government office in any election year.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.37999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-10T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1683.88,"volume_24hr":1683.88,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":1683.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.118837356567383,"normalized_volume":17.182750701904297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T17:07:52.680191Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T17:07:52.680191Z","added_at":"2026-09-10T02:09:53.596916Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfishbackrun/will-james-fishback-announce-a-run-for-public-office/kxfishbackrun-ar","event_title":"Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.55,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]}]}