{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:16:20.991070Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?\" — 5 markets; highest \"Before Feb 1, 2027\" at 7% as of 2026-11-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxflaviobrazil/will-flvio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil/kxflaviobrazil-26nov02"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","ticker":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","slug":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","title":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28106.69,"volume_24hr":28081.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.316368103027344,"normalized_volume":27.842214584350586,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":23142.69,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Feb 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.07,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.039999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":111.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-05T20:26:17.082667Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T20:26:17.082667Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.228464Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxflaviobrazil/will-flvio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil/kxflaviobrazil-26nov02","chart_24h":[0.0,26970.02,27081.02,27081.02,28081.02],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-FEB01","event_id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","slug":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-FEB01","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro visit Brazil before Feb 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Feb 1, 2027","description":"If, after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe following do NOT constitute a visit:\n\nFlying over the area without landing\nLayovers during which the person remains in an airplane\nVirtual or remote appearances\nPresence in international waters adjacent to the area\nPresence solely within embassy or consulate grounds\nPlans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period\n\nFor the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":136.67,"volume_24hr":111.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.039999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":111.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.300972938537598,"normalized_volume":6.804784297943115,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T19:20:52.330889Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T19:20:52.330889Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxflaviobrazil/will-flvio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil/kxflaviobrazil-26nov02","event_title":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-DEC01","event_id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","slug":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-DEC01","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro visit Brazil before Dec 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Dec 1, 2026","description":"If, after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe following do NOT constitute a visit:\n\nFlying over the area without landing\nLayovers during which the person remains in an airplane\nVirtual or remote appearances\nPresence in international waters adjacent to the area\nPresence solely within embassy or consulate grounds\nPlans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period\n\nFor the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":27970.02,"volume_24hr":27970.02,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":27970.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.08678436279297,"normalized_volume":29.412729263305664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T20:26:17.213848Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T20:26:17.213848Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxflaviobrazil/will-flvio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil/kxflaviobrazil-26nov02","event_title":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-APR01","event_id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","slug":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-APR01","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro visit Brazil before Apr 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2027","description":"If, after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe following do NOT constitute a visit:\n\nFlying over the area without landing\nLayovers during which the person remains in an airplane\nVirtual or remote appearances\nPresence in international waters adjacent to the area\nPresence solely within embassy or consulate grounds\nPlans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period\n\nFor the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T11:24:22.286887Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T11:24:22.286887Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxflaviobrazil/will-flvio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil/kxflaviobrazil-26nov02","event_title":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-JAN01","event_id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","slug":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-JAN01","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro visit Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe following do NOT constitute a visit:\n\nFlying over the area without landing\nLayovers during which the person remains in an airplane\nVirtual or remote appearances\nPresence in international waters adjacent to the area\nPresence solely within embassy or consulate grounds\nPlans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period\n\nFor the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T03:21:57.899999Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T03:21:57.899999Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxflaviobrazil/will-flvio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil/kxflaviobrazil-26nov02","event_title":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-JUL01","event_id":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02","slug":"KXFLAVIOBRAZIL-26NOV02-JUL01","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro visit Brazil before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If, after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe following do NOT constitute a visit:\n\nFlying over the area without landing\nLayovers during which the person remains in an airplane\nVirtual or remote appearances\nPresence in international waters adjacent to the area\nPresence solely within embassy or consulate grounds\nPlans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period\n\nFor the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-05T11:24:22.286887Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T11:24:22.286887Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxflaviobrazil/will-flvio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil/kxflaviobrazil-26nov02","event_title":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}