{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","ticker":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4721.96,"volume_24hr":4720.96,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.160812377929688,"normalized_volume":19.32308006286621,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3477.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Republican sweep","top_outcome_probability":0.36,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":277.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-05T11:36:59.511278Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T11:36:59.511278Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:03.948176Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","chart_24h":[821.0,897.5,896.5,1304.5,3439.0,3495.75,3507.0,4671.0,4705.0,4720.7,4720.96],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FFFF","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FFFF","question":"Will Democrats win None?","group_item_title":"Republican sweep","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is NOT the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. 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This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":166.0,"volume_24hr":166.0,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":166.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.616350173950195,"normalized_volume":8.154153823852539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:00.685709Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:00.685709Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FFFT","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FFFT","question":"Will Democrats win Ohio?","group_item_title":"Ohio","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. 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This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.032,0.968],"probability":0.032,"spread":0.0020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":332.0,"volume_24hr":332.0,"prob_24h_change":0.032,"volume_24h_change":332.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.38469409942627,"normalized_volume":10.501562118530273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T10:43:33.149358Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T10:43:33.149358Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-TTFF","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-TTFF","question":"Will Democrats win Texas, Alaska?","group_item_title":"Texas, Alaska","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is NOT the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.032,0.968],"probability":0.032,"spread":0.0049999999999999975,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":315.0,"volume_24hr":315.0,"prob_24h_change":0.032,"volume_24h_change":315.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.162236213684082,"normalized_volume":10.3129301071167,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T11:37:01.064675Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T11:37:01.064675Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.015,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FTFT","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FTFT","question":"Will Democrats win Alaska, Ohio?","group_item_title":"Alaska, Ohio","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.031,0.969],"probability":0.031,"spread":0.006999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":315.0,"volume_24hr":315.0,"prob_24h_change":0.031,"volume_24h_change":315.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.162236213684082,"normalized_volume":10.3129301071167,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T11:54:14.703591Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T11:54:14.703591Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.046,0.03,0.03,0.031,0.031,0.031]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-TFFF","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-TFFF","question":"Will Democrats win Texas?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is NOT the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.031,0.969],"probability":0.031,"spread":0.0020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":264.0,"volume_24hr":264.0,"prob_24h_change":0.031,"volume_24h_change":264.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.429759979248047,"normalized_volume":9.691828727722168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T10:43:33.149358Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T10:43:33.149358Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.045,0.046,0.013,0.031,0.031]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FFTT","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FFTT","question":"Will Democrats win Iowa, Ohio?","group_item_title":"Iowa, Ohio","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.0050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":213.0,"volume_24hr":213.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":213.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.570809364318848,"normalized_volume":8.963483810424805,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T10:31:20.041590Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T10:27:54.804194Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.011,0.011,0.011,0.012,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FTTT","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FTTT","question":"Will Democrats win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio?","group_item_title":"Alaska, Iowa, Ohio","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. 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This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":281.0,"volume_24hr":281.0,"prob_24h_change":0.012,"volume_24h_change":281.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.685912132263184,"normalized_volume":9.909031867980957,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:00.685709Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:00.685709Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.017,0.016,0.018,0.018,0.011,0.012,0.012]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FFTF","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FFTF","question":"Will Democrats win Iowa?","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is NOT the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":166.0,"volume_24hr":166.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":166.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.616350173950195,"normalized_volume":8.154153823852539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:00.685709Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:00.685709Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FTTF","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-FTTF","question":"Will Democrats win Alaska, Iowa?","group_item_title":"Alaska, Iowa","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is NOT the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":166.0,"volume_24hr":166.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":166.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.616350173950195,"normalized_volume":8.154153823852539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T10:31:20.041590Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T10:27:54.804194Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-TFTF","event_id":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","slug":"KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03-TFTF","question":"Will Democrats win Texas, Iowa?","group_item_title":"Texas, Iowa","description":"If the winning party for the Class II Senate seat of Texas is the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Alaska is NOT the Democratic Party, AND the Class II Senate seat of Iowa is the Democratic Party, AND the Class III Senate seat of Ohio is NOT the Democratic Party for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. 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This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T19:15:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":167.0,"volume_24hr":166.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.039,"volume_24h_change":165.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.616350173950195,"normalized_volume":8.173188209533691,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:00.685709Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T11:01:00.685709Z","added_at":"2026-08-03T19:19:04.206977Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfourstatesen/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win/kxfourstatesen-26nov03","event_title":"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?","chart_24h":[0.049,0.049,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFOURSTATESEN-26NOV03","as_of":"2026-08-05T12:02:47.320834Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?\" — top market at 36% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}