{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFRANCEDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:43:43.049115Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"France credit rating downgrade in 2026?\" — 98% as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXFRANCEDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfrancedowngrade/france-credit-rating-downgrade-in-2026/kxfrancedowngrade-27jan01"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFRANCEDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","ticker":"KXFRANCEDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXFRANCEDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","title":"France credit rating downgrade in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":703.09,"volume_24hr":184.43,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.103803634643555,"normalized_volume":11.516013145446777,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":684.3,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Downgrade before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.13,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":97.81,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T20:23:09.912393Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T20:23:09.912393Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T19:06:49.220250Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfrancedowngrade/france-credit-rating-downgrade-in-2026/kxfrancedowngrade-27jan01","chart_24h":[86.62,35.45,11.64,0.0,104.0,104.0,164.0,164.0,184.43],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXFRANCEDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-1","event_id":"KXFRANCEDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","slug":"KXFRANCEDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-1","question":"Will a Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch downgrade of France’s credit rating be confirmed before 2027?","group_item_title":"Downgrade before 2027?","description":"If a downgrade by Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch, of France’s long-term foreign-currency sovereign issuer rating is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA qualifying downgrade is a reduction of at least one notch in France’s long-term foreign-currency issuer rating (Moody’s), sovereign credit rating (S&P), or Issuer Default Rating (Fitch), relative to that agency’s immediately preceding rating.\n\nBoth the downgrade announcement and confirmation by at least one of the Source Agencies must occur during the market period. Scheduled and unscheduled downgrades count; a subsequent upgrade does not negate a downgrade.\n\nOutlook changes, watch/review placements, withdrawals, and changes solely to short-term or individual debt-instrument ratings do not count. Ratings of entities other than the Republic of France are excluded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.6799999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":703.09,"volume_24hr":184.43,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":97.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.203705787658691,"normalized_volume":13.383734703063965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:02:03.484426Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:02:03.484426Z","added_at":"2026-10-14T19:06:49.398681Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfrancedowngrade/france-credit-rating-downgrade-in-2026/kxfrancedowngrade-27jan01","event_title":"France credit rating downgrade in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.31,0.31,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]}]}