{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","ticker":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","title":"Which G7 leader will leave office next?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1785.58,"volume_24hr":1785.58,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.760616302490234,"normalized_volume":12.52923583984375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1257.58,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Emmanuel Macron","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.06999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":179.57,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T04:21:08.744822Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T04:21:08.744822Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:55.481070Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next/kxg7leaderout-26jul20","chart_24h":[2.0,80.0,80.0,1678.0,1706.0,1780.01,1785.58],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-EMAC","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-EMAC","question":"Will President of France be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Emmanuel Macron","description":"If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.\n\nIn the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":181.57,"volume_24hr":181.57,"prob_24h_change":-0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":179.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.189903259277344,"normalized_volume":7.056393623352051,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T05:27:19.120310Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T05:27:19.120310Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:55.603742Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next/kxg7leaderout-26jul20","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.96,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-KSTA","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-KSTA","question":"Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Andy Burnham","description":"If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.\n\nIn the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":195.0,"volume_24hr":195.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":195.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.497053146362305,"normalized_volume":7.250082969665527,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T06:18:57.958013Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T06:18:57.958013Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:55.603742Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next/kxg7leaderout-26jul20","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-GMEL","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-GMEL","question":"Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Giorgia Meloni","description":"If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Italy at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.\n\nIn the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":366.01,"volume_24hr":366.01,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":366.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.392158508300781,"normalized_volume":9.075746536254883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:49:43.702471Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T02:47:23.386575Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:55.603742Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next/kxg7leaderout-26jul20","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-DJT","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-DJT","question":"Will President of the United States be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":"If the individual holding the title of President of the United States at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.\n\nIn the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":320.0,"volume_24hr":320.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":320.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.746667861938477,"normalized_volume":8.66869831085205,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:49:43.702471Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T02:47:23.386575Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:55.603742Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next/kxg7leaderout-26jul20","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-MCAR","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-MCAR","question":"Will Prime Minister of Canada be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Mark Carney","description":"If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.\n\nIn the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":182.0,"volume_24hr":182.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":182.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.200016975402832,"normalized_volume":7.062770843505859,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:49:43.702471Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T02:47:23.386575Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:55.603742Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next/kxg7leaderout-26jul20","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-STAK","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-STAK","question":"Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Sanae Takaichi","description":"If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Japan at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.\n\nIn the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":221.0,"volume_24hr":221.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":221.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.046113967895508,"normalized_volume":7.596322536468506,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:49:43.702471Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T02:47:23.386575Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:55.603742Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next/kxg7leaderout-26jul20","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-FMER","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-FMER","question":"Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Friedrich Merz","description":"If the individual holding the title of Chancellor of Germany at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.\n\nIn the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":320.0,"volume_24hr":320.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":320.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.746667861938477,"normalized_volume":8.66869831085205,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:49:43.702471Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T02:47:23.386575Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T19:33:55.603742Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next/kxg7leaderout-26jul20","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave office next?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20","as_of":"2026-07-21T13:56:34.293167Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which G7 leader will leave office next?\" — top market at 3% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}