{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","ticker":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","title":"Which G7 leader will leave next?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":68863.08,"volume_24hr":1214.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.944596290588379,"normalized_volume":32.221229553222656,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":36941.7,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Keir Starmer","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":288.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-27T05:04:19.776986Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T05:04:19.776986Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/kxg7leaderout-45jan01","chart_24h":[233.39000000000001,223.12,225.12,430.12,439.12,421.12,421.12,712.12,918.12,1418.12,1399.12,1214.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-KSTA","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-KSTA","question":"Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Keir Starmer","description":"If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent. Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes. The first leader to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":18445.81,"volume_24hr":306.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":288.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.925128936767578,"normalized_volume":31.30637550354004,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T03:06:50.482147Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:12:21.413210Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/kxg7leaderout-45jan01","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave next?","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-EMAC","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-EMAC","question":"Will President of France be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Emmanuel Macron","description":"If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent. Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes. The first leader to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.02099999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":9466.61,"volume_24hr":700.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":700.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.302449226379395,"normalized_volume":27.198965072631836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T01:34:04.017220Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T01:31:23.823541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/kxg7leaderout-45jan01","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave next?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-FMER","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-FMER","question":"Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Friedrich Merz","description":"If the individual holding the title of Chancellor of Germany at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent. Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes. The first leader to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.024,0.976],"probability":0.024,"spread":0.021,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":15938.69,"volume_24hr":208.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015,"volume_24h_change":188.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.507305145263672,"normalized_volume":30.382143020629883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T02:40:09.024309Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T02:38:55.473578Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/kxg7leaderout-45jan01","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave next?","chart_24h":[0.039,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.024,0.024,0.024]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-STAK","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-STAK","question":"Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Sanae Takaichi","description":"If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Japan at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent. Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes. The first leader to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.028999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":9507.55,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.224607467651367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T01:59:07.024427Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T01:59:07.024427Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/kxg7leaderout-45jan01","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave next?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-GMEL","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-GMEL","question":"Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Giorgia Meloni","description":"If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Italy at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent. Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes. The first leader to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.028,0.972],"probability":0.028,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":4133.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-33.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.4997615814209,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T23:45:37.768191Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T23:45:37.768191Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/kxg7leaderout-45jan01","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave next?","chart_24h":[0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-DJT","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-DJT","question":"Will President of the United States be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":"If the individual holding the title of President of the United States at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent. Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes. The first leader to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":7667.43,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-185.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.96112632751465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T05:05:42.324728Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T05:04:19.873280Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/kxg7leaderout-45jan01","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave next?","chart_24h":[0.005,0.005]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-MCAR","event_id":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","slug":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-MCAR","question":"Will Prime Minister of Canada be the first to leave office?","group_item_title":"Mark Carney","description":"If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). If a leader dies in office, all markets in the set settle at their last traded prices before the death, with the Exchange determining fair allocation if prices are not logically consistent. Leaders can leave office through resignation, removal, term limits, electoral defeat, coup, impeachment and removal, or other constitutional processes. The first leader to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":3703.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.908878326416016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T20:15:04.767884Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:22:58.354074Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxg7leaderout/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/kxg7leaderout-45jan01","event_title":"Which G7 leader will leave next?","chart_24h":[0.001,0.001]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","as_of":"2026-05-27T05:31:30.611885Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which G7 leader will leave next?\" — top market at 11% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}