{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","ticker":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30","title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":107219.94,"volume_24hr":2658.2799999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.209497451782227,"normalized_volume":36.862144470214844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":31883.27,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 0.0%","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-83.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-25T04:13:40.701220Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T04:13:40.701220Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T14:08:53.294239Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","chart_24h":[1082.13,1082.13,1082.49,1100.47,1093.47,1109.47,1112.1,1044.74,911.74,1039.74,1958.74,1884.24,1894.69,1866.34,1798.34,3298.34,3298.2799999999997,2658.2799999999997],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T0.0","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T0.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 0.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":373.42,"volume_24hr":16.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-83.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1980512142181396,"normalized_volume":10.92978286743164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T02:01:39.887381Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T16:18:36.302993Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:12:24.713213Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T0.5","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T0.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 0.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":363.77,"volume_24hr":2.03,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.48960667848587036,"normalized_volume":10.833667755126953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T03:41:14.510853Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T11:56:07.507961Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:12:24.713213Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.94,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T1.0","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T1.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":4788.53,"volume_24hr":1033.36,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1033.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.19721794128418,"normalized_volume":22.355043411254883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T05:22:55.614567Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T02:57:15.713972Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T14:08:53.457064Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T1.5","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T1.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":3983.05,"volume_24hr":159.64,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":127.99999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.278071403503418,"normalized_volume":21.394105911254883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T18:47:08.260656Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T18:43:49.874198Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T14:08:53.457064Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T2.5","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T2.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 2.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":12104.42,"volume_24hr":510.45,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999898,"volume_24h_change":510.45,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.499338150024414,"normalized_volume":27.514728546142578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T00:38:23.925018Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:20:18.589072Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T14:08:53.457064Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T3.0","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T3.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 3.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":4061.29,"volume_24hr":17.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":-224.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.4292938709259033,"normalized_volume":21.49460220336914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T05:16:30.507338Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T05:16:30.507338Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:12:24.713213Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T3.5","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T3.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 3.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":6481.7,"volume_24hr":919.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":519.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.554636001586914,"normalized_volume":23.980648040771484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T05:16:30.507338Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T05:16:30.507338Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:12:24.713213Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T2.0","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T2.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 2.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":10324.68,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.59181022644043,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T23:32:35.293431Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T02:02:23.659655Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T14:08:53.457064Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T4.0","event_id":"KXGDP-26OCT30","slug":"KXGDP-26OCT30-T4.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 4.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-30T12:29:00Z","volume":64739.08,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-316.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.204345703125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T01:37:03.196020Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T01:37:03.196020Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:12:24.713213Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026/kxgdp-26oct30","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGDP-26OCT30","as_of":"2026-08-25T07:19:27.468717Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?\" — top market at 88% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}