{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","ticker":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28","title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59276.36,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.645362854003906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3545.37,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 0.0%","top_outcome_probability":0.94,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-24T13:52:22.721752Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T13:52:22.721752Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.559426Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 0.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":138.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.580079555511475,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T22:40:33.028667Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T22:40:33.028667Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 0.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":375.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.94532299041748,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T09:41:38.367584Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T09:41:38.367584Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":1016.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.926923751831055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T09:55:31.355815Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T09:55:31.355815Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.72,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":1576.72,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.880130767822266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T09:41:38.367584Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T09:41:38.367584Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.69,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T2.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T2.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 2.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":2233.98,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.514501571655273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T13:52:22.904590Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T13:52:22.904590Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T2.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T2.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 2.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.24000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":407.39,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.252511978149414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T22:40:33.028667Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T22:40:33.028667Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 3.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.65,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":147.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.773828983306885,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T17:49:24.481093Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T17:49:24.481093Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T4.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T4.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 4.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.15999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":915.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.479527473449707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T22:40:33.028667Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T22:40:33.028667Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 3.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":52467.23,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.76848220825195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T13:52:22.904590Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T13:52:22.904590Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGDP-27JAN28","as_of":"2026-09-25T18:41:24.400841Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?\" — top market at 94% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}