{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","ticker":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28","title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1814.99,"volume_24hr":1269.63,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.496200561523438,"normalized_volume":15.203597068786621,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1026.54,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 0.0%","top_outcome_probability":0.92,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.41000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":51.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T17:46:44.351337Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T17:46:44.351337Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.559426Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","chart_24h":[528.48,570.78,609.78,576.78,477.78,278.78,190.78,138.0,843.0,955.0,959.0,1013.0,1015.0,1167.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 0.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":51.01,"volume_24hr":51.0,"prob_24h_change":0.41000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":51.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.163501739501953,"normalized_volume":4.860593318939209,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T16:45:31.638841Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T16:45:31.638841Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.51,0.51,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":220.0,"volume_24hr":54.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-107.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.339730262756348,"normalized_volume":9.071337699890137,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T17:46:44.858141Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T17:46:44.858141Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":1069.18,"volume_24hr":995.63,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":922.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.819549560546875,"normalized_volume":15.147477149963379,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T17:49:56.170695Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T17:46:44.858141Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T2.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T2.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 2.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. 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The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":134.0,"volume_24hr":92.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":14.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.11063003540039,"normalized_volume":7.490418434143066,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T17:46:44.858141Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T17:46:44.858141Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 3.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":131.0,"volume_24hr":41.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-46.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.515205383300781,"normalized_volume":7.421942710876465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T17:34:22.226907Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T01:33:23.082004Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 0.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":41.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-39.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.3489179611206055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T22:10:58.736080Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T21:54:59.134088Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 3.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":92.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-92.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.395797252655029,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T01:01:25.443911Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:26:48.019921Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T4.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T4.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 4.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","volume":18.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-18.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.699850559234619,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T22:54:27.404297Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T22:22:54.042548Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGDP-27JAN28","as_of":"2026-07-30T17:52:08.880408Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US GDP growth in Q4 2026?\" — top market at 74% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}