{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGDP-27JAN28","as_of":"2026-11-13T16:11:23.661000Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?\" — 9 markets; highest \"Above 0.0%\" at 94% as of 2026-11-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGDP-27JAN28","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","ticker":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28","title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65774.58,"volume_24hr":728.04,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.668925285339355,"normalized_volume":32.42259979248047,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7311.98,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 0.0%","top_outcome_probability":0.94,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:28:13.995226Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:28:13.995226Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.559426Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","chart_24h":[282.39000000000004,283.41,21.33,721.48,736.1800000000001,737.35,720.4599999999999,718.4599999999999,728.04],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T1.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 1.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. 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The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. 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The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. 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The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. 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The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":377.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.882529258728027,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T10:11:43.732463Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T10:11:43.732463Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T2.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T2.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 2.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.32999999999999996],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":1220.24,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-7.58,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.173441886901855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:28:14.831445Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:28:14.831445Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.0","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.0","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 3.0%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41000000000000003],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":350.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-3.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.643009185791016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T15:45:26.524365Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T15:45:26.524365Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.5","event_id":"KXGDP-27JAN28","slug":"KXGDP-27JAN28-T3.5","question":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 3.5%","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-29T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-28T13:29:00Z","result":null,"volume":53187.68,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-4.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.22096633911133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T14:39:49.970965Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T14:39:49.970965Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T17:08:39.775489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdp/us-real-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026/kxgdp-27jan28","event_title":"US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36]}]}