{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","ticker":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33","title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60995.25,"volume_24hr":60995.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.71768569946289,"normalized_volume":27.12916374206543,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":53603.03,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"2.1% to 2.5%","top_outcome_probability":0.12,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3817.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.345218Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.345218Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.386936Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","chart_24h":[0.0,1.0,43.230000000000004,218.24,226.24,227.24,227.24,228.24,234.24,1128.25,4688.25,4698.25,12392.25,12871.25],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B2.3","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B2.3","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"2.1% to 2.5%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 2.1% to 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":3817.0,"volume_24hr":3817.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":3817.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.611528396606445,"normalized_volume":17.702234268188477,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B1.3","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B1.3","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"1.1% to 1.5%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 1.1% to 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":3813.0,"volume_24hr":3813.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":3813.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.604764938354492,"normalized_volume":17.697734832763672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-T0.1","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-T0.1","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"0.0% or Below","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":3819.0,"volume_24hr":3819.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":3819.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.61490821838379,"normalized_volume":17.704483032226562,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B1.8","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B1.8","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"1.6% to 2.0%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 1.6% to 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. 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The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":4636.0,"volume_24hr":4636.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":4636.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.880435943603516,"normalized_volume":18.546321868896484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B0.8","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B0.8","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"0.6% to 1.0%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. 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The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":3864.0,"volume_24hr":3864.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":3864.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.690542221069336,"normalized_volume":17.75479507446289,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B3.3","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B3.3","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"3.1% to 3.5%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 3.1% to 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":3816.0,"volume_24hr":3816.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":3816.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.609838485717773,"normalized_volume":17.70111083984375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B3.8","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B3.8","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"3.6% to 4.0%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 3.6% to 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":3861.0,"volume_24hr":3861.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":3861.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.685523986816406,"normalized_volume":17.75145721435547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B4.3","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B4.3","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"4.1% to 4.5%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 4.1% to 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":4140.0,"volume_24hr":4140.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":4140.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.138181686401367,"normalized_volume":18.052568435668945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B4.8","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B4.8","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"4.6% to 5.0%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 4.6% to 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":5068.01,"volume_24hr":5068.01,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":5068.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.471927642822266,"normalized_volume":18.939788818359375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B5.3","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B5.3","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"5.1% to 5.5%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 5.1% to 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":4166.0,"volume_24hr":4166.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":4166.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.178985595703125,"normalized_volume":18.0797119140625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B5.8","event_id":"KXGDPYEAR-33","slug":"KXGDPYEAR-33-B5.8","question":"GDP growth in 2033?","group_item_title":"5.6% to 6.0%","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 5.6% to 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","closed_time":"2034-02-28T13:29:00Z","volume":3983.01,"volume_24hr":3983.01,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":3983.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.88690185546875,"normalized_volume":17.885414123535156,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T13:52:00.440600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T13:49:45.497007Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T00:10:00.941543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgdpyear/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2033/kxgdpyear-33","event_title":"US real GDP growth in 2033?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGDPYEAR-33","as_of":"2026-07-28T13:56:40.961308Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"US real GDP growth in 2033?\" — top market at 8% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}