{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:39:38.332853Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Iowa Senate: margin of victory\" — \"Josh Turek, 0-2%\" leads at 14% across 11 outcomes as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":588.0,"volume_24hr":588.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.57886791229248,"normalized_volume":10.897610664367676,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":539.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Josh Turek, 0-2%","top_outcome_probability":0.14,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":49.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:46:34.788367Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:46:34.788367Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.155362Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","chart_24h":[0.0,585.0,588.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":11,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P1","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"Josh Turek, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P3","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Ashley Hinson, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:46:34.949199Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:46:34.949199Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P3","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Josh Turek, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:46:34.949199Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:46:34.949199Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P1","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"Ashley Hinson, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":98.0,"volume_24hr":98.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":98.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.898874759674072,"normalized_volume":6.573143005371094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:58:27.042508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:58:27.042508Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P5","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Ashley Hinson, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P5","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Josh Turek, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:27:01.440563Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:27:01.440563Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P7","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Ashley Hinson, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:46:34.949199Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:46:34.949199Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P9","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P9","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 8% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Ashley Hinson, 8-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P7","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Josh Turek, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P10","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-AHIN-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 10%?","group_item_title":"Ashley Hinson, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P8","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATEIA-26-JTUR-P8","question":"Will the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 8%?","group_item_title":"Josh Turek, ≥8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Josh Turek minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Josh Turek loses. If Josh Turek wins, the margin will be positive; if Josh Turek loses, the margin will be negative; if Josh Turek ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Josh Turek runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":49.0,"volume_24hr":49.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":49.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.724984645843506,"normalized_volume":4.7641143798828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/iowa-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senateia-26","event_title":"Iowa Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.04]}]}