{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:03:07.929264Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Texas Senate: margin of victory\" — \"Ken Paxton, 0-2%\" leads at 20% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","ticker":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":314.91999999999996,"volume_24hr":314.91999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.056074142456055,"normalized_volume":8.872962951660156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":314.91999999999996,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ken Paxton, 0-2%","top_outcome_probability":0.2,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.2,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":219.2,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:45:56.456850Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:45:56.456850Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.155362Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","chart_24h":[0.0,124.51,140.23000000000002,234.92,234.92,314.91999999999996],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P1","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"Ken Paxton, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ken Paxton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses. If Ken Paxton wins, the margin will be positive; if Ken Paxton loses, the margin will be negative; if Ken Paxton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Paxton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":219.2,"volume_24hr":219.2,"prob_24h_change":0.2,"volume_24h_change":219.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.886286735534668,"normalized_volume":9.05915355682373,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:58:27.042508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:58:27.042508Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P1","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"James Talarico, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by James Talarico minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind James Talarico if James Talarico wins, or the candidate that finishes first if James Talarico loses. If James Talarico wins, the margin will be positive; if James Talarico loses, the margin will be negative; if James Talarico ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If James Talarico runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":95.72,"volume_24hr":95.72,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":95.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.81897497177124,"normalized_volume":6.506653308868408,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:58:27.042508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:58:27.042508Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P3","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"James Talarico, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by James Talarico minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind James Talarico if James Talarico wins, or the candidate that finishes first if James Talarico loses. If James Talarico wins, the margin will be positive; if James Talarico loses, the margin will be negative; if James Talarico ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If James Talarico runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:58:27.042508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:58:27.042508Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P5","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"James Talarico, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by James Talarico minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind James Talarico if James Talarico wins, or the candidate that finishes first if James Talarico loses. If James Talarico wins, the margin will be positive; if James Talarico loses, the margin will be negative; if James Talarico ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If James Talarico runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:44:08.851134Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P7","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"James Talarico, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by James Talarico minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind James Talarico if James Talarico wins, or the candidate that finishes first if James Talarico loses. If James Talarico wins, the margin will be positive; if James Talarico loses, the margin will be negative; if James Talarico ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If James Talarico runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T04:16:07.966351Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T04:16:07.966351Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P8","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-JTAL-P8","question":"Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 8%?","group_item_title":"James Talarico, ≥8%","description":"If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by James Talarico minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind James Talarico if James Talarico wins, or the candidate that finishes first if James Talarico loses. If James Talarico wins, the margin will be positive; if James Talarico loses, the margin will be negative; if James Talarico ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If James Talarico runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P3","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Ken Paxton, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ken Paxton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses. If Ken Paxton wins, the margin will be positive; if Ken Paxton loses, the margin will be negative; if Ken Paxton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Paxton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P5","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Ken Paxton, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ken Paxton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses. If Ken Paxton wins, the margin will be positive; if Ken Paxton loses, the margin will be negative; if Ken Paxton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Paxton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P7","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Ken Paxton, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ken Paxton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses. If Ken Paxton wins, the margin will be positive; if Ken Paxton loses, the margin will be negative; if Ken Paxton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Paxton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:45:43.477204Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P8","event_id":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26","slug":"KXGENERALMOV-SENATETX-26-KPAX-P8","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 8%?","group_item_title":"Ken Paxton, ≥8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ken Paxton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses. If Ken Paxton wins, the margin will be positive; if Ken Paxton loses, the margin will be negative; if Ken Paxton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Paxton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T01:43:15.963600Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T01:43:15.963600Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:06:44.398346Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgeneralmov/texas-senate-margin-of-victory/kxgeneralmov-senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate: margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}