{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","ticker":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","slug":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","title":"Next German federal election winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:23:00Z","end_date":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25347.02,"volume_24hr":25347.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.96750259399414,"normalized_volume":22.9774112701416,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":20771.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"AfD","top_outcome_probability":0.48,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.48,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1074.02,"updated_at":"2026-07-29T04:20:56.160084Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T04:20:56.160084Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:25:28.885360Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgerelection/next-german-federal-election-winner/kxgerelection-29mar25","chart_24h":[0.0,2.01,874.01,22946.02,25047.02,25347.02],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-AFD","event_id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","slug":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-AFD","question":"Will AfD win the next election to the German Bundestag?","group_item_title":"AfD","description":"If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:23:00Z","end_date":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","volume":1074.02,"volume_24hr":1074.02,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":1074.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.731182098388672,"normalized_volume":12.679670333862305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:55:18.572667Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:52:36.718172Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:25:29.527052Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgerelection/next-german-federal-election-winner/kxgerelection-29mar25","event_title":"Next German federal election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-UNI","event_id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","slug":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-UNI","question":"Will CDU/CSU win the next election to the German Bundestag?","group_item_title":"CDU/CSU","description":"If CDU/CSU wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:23:00Z","end_date":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","volume":36.0,"volume_24hr":36.0,"prob_24h_change":0.28,"volume_24h_change":36.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.280386924743652,"normalized_volume":3.39328670501709,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:55:18.572667Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:52:36.718172Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:25:29.527052Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgerelection/next-german-federal-election-winner/kxgerelection-29mar25","event_title":"Next German federal election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.26,0.26,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-SPD","event_id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","slug":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-SPD","question":"Will SPD win the next election to the German Bundestag?","group_item_title":"SPD","description":"If SPD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:23:00Z","end_date":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","volume":202.0,"volume_24hr":202.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":202.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.432568550109863,"normalized_volume":7.34680700302124,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T20:45:34.092074Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T20:45:34.092074Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:25:29.527052Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgerelection/next-german-federal-election-winner/kxgerelection-29mar25","event_title":"Next German federal election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-GRE","event_id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","slug":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-GRE","question":"Will Greens win the next election to the German Bundestag?","group_item_title":"Greens","description":"If Greens wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:23:00Z","end_date":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","volume":4871.0,"volume_24hr":4871.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":4871.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.1994571685791,"normalized_volume":18.76418113708496,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:55:18.572667Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:52:36.718172Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:25:29.527052Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgerelection/next-german-federal-election-winner/kxgerelection-29mar25","event_title":"Next German federal election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-BSW","event_id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","slug":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-BSW","question":"Will BSW win the next election to the German Bundestag?","group_item_title":"BSW","description":"If BSW wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:23:00Z","end_date":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","volume":5149.0,"volume_24hr":5149.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":5149.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.582353591918945,"normalized_volume":19.010236740112305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:55:18.572667Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:52:36.718172Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:25:29.527052Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgerelection/next-german-federal-election-winner/kxgerelection-29mar25","event_title":"Next German federal election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-FDP","event_id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","slug":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-FDP","question":"Will FDP win the next election to the German Bundestag?","group_item_title":"FDP","description":"If FDP wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:23:00Z","end_date":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","volume":7145.0,"volume_24hr":7145.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":7145.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.89330291748047,"normalized_volume":20.495302200317383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:55:18.572667Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:52:36.718172Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:25:29.527052Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgerelection/next-german-federal-election-winner/kxgerelection-29mar25","event_title":"Next German federal election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-LIN","event_id":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","slug":"KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-LIN","question":"Will The Left win the next election to the German Bundestag?","group_item_title":"The Left","description":"If The Left wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nFor purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T16:23:00Z","end_date":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-03-25T14:00:00Z","volume":6870.0,"volume_24hr":6870.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":6870.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.61185646057129,"normalized_volume":20.314437866210938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T04:25:48.096956Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T04:20:56.507296Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T16:25:29.527052Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgerelection/next-german-federal-election-winner/kxgerelection-29mar25","event_title":"Next German federal election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGERELECTION-29MAR25","as_of":"2026-07-29T06:56:56.320972Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Next German federal election winner?\" — top market at 1% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}