{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","as_of":"2026-11-04T17:32:55.782919Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?\" — 9 markets; highest \"Above 8%\" at 75% as of 2026-11-03 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","ticker":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15251.45,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.670639038085938,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":7799.79,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 8%","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-03T22:31:24.230852Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T22:31:24.230852Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T21:19:37.521229Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","chart_24h":[196.38,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":9,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A8","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A8","question":"Will Republicans receive above 8% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 8%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.5800000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":3461.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.635021209716797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T17:19:26.157881Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T17:19:26.157881Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T21:19:37.689306Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A9","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A9","question":"Will Republicans receive above 9% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 9%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T19:32:57Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.13479618728160858,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T17:19:26.157881Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T17:19:26.157881Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T18:47:46.103423Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A10","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A10","question":"Will Republicans receive above 10% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 10%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2917.9,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-196.38,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.861562728881836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T17:19:26.157881Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T17:19:26.157881Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T21:19:37.689306Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A12","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A12","question":"Will Republicans receive above 12% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 12%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2136.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.492843627929688,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T16:46:21.686912Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T16:46:21.686912Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T21:19:37.689306Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A14","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A14","question":"Will Republicans receive above 14% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 14%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":3502.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.687591552734375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T16:46:21.686912Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T16:46:21.686912Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T21:19:37.689306Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A18","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A18","question":"Will Republicans receive above 18% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 18%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 18%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1932.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.065258026123047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T23:18:57.874229Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T23:18:57.874229Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T21:19:37.689306Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A16","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A16","question":"Will Republicans receive above 16% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 16%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1300.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.426886558532715,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T21:58:48.578328Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T21:58:48.578328Z","added_at":"2026-09-16T21:19:37.689306Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A11","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A11","question":"Will Republicans receive above 11% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 11%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 11%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.88,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T18:07:36Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T17:19:26.157881Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T17:19:26.157881Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T18:07:41.488948Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A6","event_id":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06","slug":"KXGOPBLACKVOTE-26NOV06-A6","question":"Will Republicans receive above 6% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?","group_item_title":"Above 6%","description":"If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.6599999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-06T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-06T16:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T15:57:35.600483Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T15:57:35.600483Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T16:02:49.813719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopblackvote/midterms-republican-share-of-black-vote/kxgopblackvote-26nov06","event_title":"Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}