{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","ticker":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2972.0,"volume_24hr":2972.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.740211486816406,"normalized_volume":17.251052856445312,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2672.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Utah Senate","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.8,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2972.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T13:33:12.466745Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T13:33:12.466745Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.034759Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","chart_24h":[0.0,2972.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-UTS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-UTS","question":"Will the number of Utah State Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Utah Senate","description":"If the number of Utah State Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.8200000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":2972.0,"volume_24hr":2972.0,"prob_24h_change":0.8,"volume_24h_change":2972.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.12499237060547,"normalized_volume":19.909900665283203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T15:32:52.985730Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T15:32:52.985730Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-AZH","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-AZH","question":"Will the number of Arizona House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 40 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Arizona House","description":"If the number of Arizona House of Representatives seats held by Republicans is at least 40 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-AZS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-AZS","question":"Will the number of Arizona State Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Arizona Senate","description":"If the number of Arizona State Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T15:47:49.440926Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T15:47:49.440926Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-FLH","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-FLH","question":"Will the number of Florida House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 80 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Florida House","description":"If the number of Florida House of Representatives seats held by Republicans is at least 80 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.8400000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T15:02:39.099177Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T15:02:39.099177Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-FLS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-FLS","question":"Will the number of Florida Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 27 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Florida Senate","description":"If the number of Florida Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 27 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-GAS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-GAS","question":"Will the number of Georgia State Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 38 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Georgia Senate","description":"If the number of Georgia State Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 38 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-IAH","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-IAH","question":"Will the number of Iowa House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 67 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Iowa House","description":"If the number of Iowa House of Representatives seats held by Republicans is at least 67 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-IAS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-IAS","question":"Will the number of Iowa Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 34 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Iowa Senate","description":"If the number of Iowa Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 34 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T15:47:49.440926Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T15:47:49.440926Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-IDS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-IDS","question":"Will the number of Idaho Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 24 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Idaho Senate","description":"If the number of Idaho Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 24 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-KSH","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-KSH","question":"Will the number of Kansas House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 84 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Kansas House","description":"If the number of Kansas House of Representatives seats held by Republicans is at least 84 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T13:33:12.735940Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T13:33:12.735940Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-MOH","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-MOH","question":"Will the number of Missouri House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 109 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Missouri House","description":"If the number of Missouri House of Representatives seats held by Republicans is at least 109 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T16:46:50.550989Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T16:46:50.550989Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-MOS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-MOS","question":"Will the number of Missouri Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 23 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Missouri Senate","description":"If the number of Missouri Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 23 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.8600000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T12:06:48.052470Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T12:06:48.052470Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-MTS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-MTS","question":"Will the number of Montana Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 34 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Montana Senate","description":"If the number of Montana Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 34 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-NCH","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-NCH","question":"Will the number of North Carolina House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 72 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"North Carolina House","description":"If the number of North Carolina House of Representatives seats held by Republicans is at least 72 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-NCS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-NCS","question":"Will the number of North Carolina Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 30 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"North Carolina Senate","description":"If the number of North Carolina Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 30 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T15:17:46.537368Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T15:17:46.537368Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-NHS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-NHS","question":"Will the number of New Hampshire Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 16 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire Senate","description":"If the number of New Hampshire Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 16 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T16:01:44.175308Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T16:01:44.175308Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-OHH","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-OHH","question":"Will the number of Ohio House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 60 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Ohio House","description":"If the number of Ohio House of Representatives seats held by Republicans is at least 60 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-OHS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-OHS","question":"Will the number of Ohio Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Ohio Senate","description":"If the number of Ohio Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-SCH","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-SCH","question":"Will the number of South Carolina House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 83 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"South Carolina House","description":"If the number of South Carolina House of Representatives seats held by Republicans is at least 83 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T13:33:12.735940Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T13:33:12.735940Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-TXS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-TXS","question":"Will the number of Texas Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 21 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Texas Senate","description":"If the number of Texas Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 21 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-WIS","event_id":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03-WIS","question":"Will the number of Wisconsin State Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 22 after the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Wisconsin Senate","description":"If the number of Wisconsin State Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 22 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.\n\nA winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T07:03:51.093673Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T20:07:45.205682Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgopstatesupermaj/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026/kxgopstatesupermaj-26nov03","event_title":"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGOPSTATESUPERMAJ-26NOV03","as_of":"2026-10-02T17:05:02.244205Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?\" — top market at 80% probability across 21 outcomes","source_url":null}}