{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","ticker":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1406.0,"volume_24hr":1406.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.219745635986328,"normalized_volume":14.174504280090332,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1406.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alaska","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.1,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1406.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:16:01.207293Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:16:01.207293Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.395152Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","chart_24h":[0.0,1406.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-AK","event_id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-AK","question":"Republican trifecta in Alaska?","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":"If ALL of the Republican candidate for Governor of Alaska, the Republican Party in the Alaska Senate, and the Republican Party in the Alaska House of Representatives win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach state market requires the Republican candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Republican Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot.\n\nFor Alaska, any Republican candidate for Governor counts, using the ultimate winner after ranked-choice tabulation, and party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. The Republican Party must also organize each Alaska chamber: the first permanent presiding officer (Senate President or Speaker of the House) elected by that chamber of the 35th Alaska Legislature, which convenes in January 2027, must be a Republican chosen by a majority caucus or coalition in which more than half of the members are Republicans. A temporary presiding officer does not count, and a bipartisan coalition without a Republican majority does not count even if Republicans hold the most seats. The Alaska market cannot resolve Yes before both chambers have elected their permanent presiding officers.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":1406.0,"volume_24hr":1406.0,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":1406.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.357566833496094,"normalized_volume":16.359172821044922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:16:01.356199Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:16:01.356199Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.563186Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","event_title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-AZ","event_id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-AZ","question":"Republican trifecta in Arizona?","group_item_title":"Arizona","description":"If ALL of the Republican candidate for Governor of Arizona, the Republican Party in the Arizona State Senate, and the Republican Party in the Arizona House of Representatives win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach state market requires the Republican candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Republican Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot.\n\nFor Alaska, any Republican candidate for Governor counts, using the ultimate winner after ranked-choice tabulation, and party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. The Republican Party must also organize each Alaska chamber: the first permanent presiding officer (Senate President or Speaker of the House) elected by that chamber of the 35th Alaska Legislature, which convenes in January 2027, must be a Republican chosen by a majority caucus or coalition in which more than half of the members are Republicans. A temporary presiding officer does not count, and a bipartisan coalition without a Republican majority does not count even if Republicans hold the most seats. The Alaska market cannot resolve Yes before both chambers have elected their permanent presiding officers.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.563186Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","event_title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-MI","event_id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-MI","question":"Republican trifecta in Michigan?","group_item_title":"Michigan","description":"If ALL of the Republican candidate for Governor of Michigan, the Republican Party in the Michigan Senate, and the Republican Party in the Michigan House of Representatives win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach state market requires the Republican candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Republican Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot.\n\nFor Alaska, any Republican candidate for Governor counts, using the ultimate winner after ranked-choice tabulation, and party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. The Republican Party must also organize each Alaska chamber: the first permanent presiding officer (Senate President or Speaker of the House) elected by that chamber of the 35th Alaska Legislature, which convenes in January 2027, must be a Republican chosen by a majority caucus or coalition in which more than half of the members are Republicans. A temporary presiding officer does not count, and a bipartisan coalition without a Republican majority does not count even if Republicans hold the most seats. The Alaska market cannot resolve Yes before both chambers have elected their permanent presiding officers.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.563186Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","event_title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-MN","event_id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-MN","question":"Republican trifecta in Minnesota?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"If ALL of the Republican candidate for Governor of Minnesota, the Republican Party in the Minnesota Senate, and the Republican Party in the Minnesota House of Representatives win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach state market requires the Republican candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Republican Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot.\n\nFor Alaska, any Republican candidate for Governor counts, using the ultimate winner after ranked-choice tabulation, and party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. The Republican Party must also organize each Alaska chamber: the first permanent presiding officer (Senate President or Speaker of the House) elected by that chamber of the 35th Alaska Legislature, which convenes in January 2027, must be a Republican chosen by a majority caucus or coalition in which more than half of the members are Republicans. A temporary presiding officer does not count, and a bipartisan coalition without a Republican majority does not count even if Republicans hold the most seats. The Alaska market cannot resolve Yes before both chambers have elected their permanent presiding officers.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.563186Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","event_title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-NV","event_id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-NV","question":"Republican trifecta in Nevada?","group_item_title":"Nevada","description":"If ALL of the Republican candidate for Governor of Nevada, the Republican Party in the Nevada Senate, and the Republican Party in the Nevada Assembly win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach state market requires the Republican candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Republican Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot.\n\nFor Alaska, any Republican candidate for Governor counts, using the ultimate winner after ranked-choice tabulation, and party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. The Republican Party must also organize each Alaska chamber: the first permanent presiding officer (Senate President or Speaker of the House) elected by that chamber of the 35th Alaska Legislature, which convenes in January 2027, must be a Republican chosen by a majority caucus or coalition in which more than half of the members are Republicans. A temporary presiding officer does not count, and a bipartisan coalition without a Republican majority does not count even if Republicans hold the most seats. The Alaska market cannot resolve Yes before both chambers have elected their permanent presiding officers.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T17:31:46.189654Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T17:31:46.189654Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.563186Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","event_title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-PA","event_id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-PA","question":"Republican trifecta in Pennsylvania?","group_item_title":"Pennsylvania","description":"If ALL of the Republican candidate for Governor of Pennsylvania, the Republican Party in the Pennsylvania State Senate, and the Republican Party in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach state market requires the Republican candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Republican Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot.\n\nFor Alaska, any Republican candidate for Governor counts, using the ultimate winner after ranked-choice tabulation, and party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. The Republican Party must also organize each Alaska chamber: the first permanent presiding officer (Senate President or Speaker of the House) elected by that chamber of the 35th Alaska Legislature, which convenes in January 2027, must be a Republican chosen by a majority caucus or coalition in which more than half of the members are Republicans. A temporary presiding officer does not count, and a bipartisan coalition without a Republican majority does not count even if Republicans hold the most seats. The Alaska market cannot resolve Yes before both chambers have elected their permanent presiding officers.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.563186Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","event_title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-VT","event_id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-VT","question":"Republican trifecta in Vermont?","group_item_title":"Vermont","description":"If ALL of the Republican candidate for Governor of Vermont, the Republican Party in the Vermont Senate, and the Republican Party in the Vermont House of Representatives win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach state market requires the Republican candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Republican Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot.\n\nFor Alaska, any Republican candidate for Governor counts, using the ultimate winner after ranked-choice tabulation, and party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. The Republican Party must also organize each Alaska chamber: the first permanent presiding officer (Senate President or Speaker of the House) elected by that chamber of the 35th Alaska Legislature, which convenes in January 2027, must be a Republican chosen by a majority caucus or coalition in which more than half of the members are Republicans. A temporary presiding officer does not count, and a bipartisan coalition without a Republican majority does not count even if Republicans hold the most seats. The Alaska market cannot resolve Yes before both chambers have elected their permanent presiding officers.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T08:01:13.360891Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.563186Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","event_title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-WI","event_id":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","slug":"KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03-WI","question":"Republican trifecta in Wisconsin?","group_item_title":"Wisconsin","description":"If ALL of the Republican candidate for Governor of Wisconsin, the Republican Party in the Wisconsin State Senate, and the Republican Party in the Wisconsin State Assembly win their respective elections, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach state market requires the Republican candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Republican Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot.\n\nFor Alaska, any Republican candidate for Governor counts, using the ultimate winner after ranked-choice tabulation, and party affiliation is determined at the time of the general election. The Republican Party must also organize each Alaska chamber: the first permanent presiding officer (Senate President or Speaker of the House) elected by that chamber of the 35th Alaska Legislature, which convenes in January 2027, must be a Republican chosen by a majority caucus or coalition in which more than half of the members are Republicans. A temporary presiding officer does not count, and a bipartisan coalition without a Republican majority does not count even if Republicans hold the most seats. The Alaska market cannot resolve Yes before both chambers have elected their permanent presiding officers.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T17:17:10.133590Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T17:17:10.133590Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T21:37:06.563186Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgoptrifecta/which-states-will-republicans-win-a-trifecta-in-2026/kxgoptrifecta-26nov03","event_title":"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGOPTRIFECTA-26NOV03","as_of":"2026-10-02T17:47:18.358087Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?\" — top market at 10% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}