{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","ticker":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","slug":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","title":"How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-13T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":227547.5,"volume_24hr":666.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.724564552307129,"normalized_volume":33.99951934814453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":68142.76,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 50 billion","top_outcome_probability":0.094,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-77.33000000000001,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T04:21:25.618794Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T04:21:25.618794Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtcuts/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-2027/kxgovtcuts-26","chart_24h":[5952.38,5982.72,6101.05,6129.05,6265.8,6306.28,6236.28,6245.469999999999,3009.7000000000003,3019.69,2968.36,2919.55,799.75,651.64,588.48,600.48,672.6,672.52,666.03],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB","event_id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","slug":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB","question":"Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 50 billion","description":"If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2026 is compared against Q4 2024.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.094,0.906],"probability":0.094,"spread":0.051000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-06T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","volume":14486.31,"volume_24hr":157.88,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-77.33000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.59895133972168,"normalized_volume":23.889638900756836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T04:23:31.271353Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T04:21:25.733632Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtcuts/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-2027/kxgovtcuts-26","event_title":"How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094,0.094]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-500","event_id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","slug":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-500","question":"Will government spending decrease by 500 before 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 500 billion","description":"If government spending decreases by at least 500 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-13T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","volume":41359.35,"volume_24hr":165.02,"prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":20.960000000000008,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.783610343933105,"normalized_volume":29.407508850097656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T03:16:28.573372Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T03:14:40.881598Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtcuts/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-2027/kxgovtcuts-26","event_title":"How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.044,0.065]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-250","event_id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","slug":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-250","question":"Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 250 billion","description":"If government spending decreases by at least 250 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.054,0.946],"probability":0.054,"spread":0.015000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-13T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","volume":98219.66,"volume_24hr":241.97,"prob_24h_change":0.003999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-30.640000000000015,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.450119018554688,"normalized_volume":34.387542724609375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T06:06:07.105172Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T06:06:07.105172Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtcuts/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-2027/kxgovtcuts-26","event_title":"How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.069,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.054,0.054]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-2000","event_id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","slug":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-2000","question":"Will government spending decrease by 2000 before 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 2 trillion","description":"If government spending decreases by at least 2000 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.031,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-13T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","volume":23612.81,"volume_24hr":40.48,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":-5307.6900000000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.726192474365234,"normalized_volume":26.388132095336914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:47:37.629069Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T02:47:37.629069Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtcuts/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-2027/kxgovtcuts-26","event_title":"How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-750","event_id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","slug":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-750","question":"Will government spending decrease by 750 before 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 750 billion","description":"If government spending decreases by at least 750 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.023000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-13T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","volume":24252.98,"volume_24hr":60.68,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":15.780000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.010864734649658,"normalized_volume":26.528514862060547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T03:14:40.881598Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T03:14:40.881598Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtcuts/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-2027/kxgovtcuts-26","event_title":"How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-1000","event_id":"KXGOVTCUTS-26","slug":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-1000","question":"Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2026?","group_item_title":"At least 1 trillion","description":"If government spending decreases by at least 1000 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.034,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-13T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","volume":25616.39,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-18.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.816696166992188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T03:14:40.881598Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T03:14:40.881598Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtcuts/how-much-government-spending-will-trump-cut-before-2027/kxgovtcuts-26","event_title":"How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGOVTCUTS-26","as_of":"2026-07-21T06:19:32.182715Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?\" — top market at 5% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}