{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","ticker":"KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","slug":"KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","title":"Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T20:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":129.42,"volume_24hr":129.42,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.808402061462402,"normalized_volume":6.246384143829346,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":129.42,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.37,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.37,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":129.42,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:17:38.226440Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T02:17:38.226440Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T20:37:36.358117Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtshutdown/government-shutdown-on-oct-1-2026/kxgovtshutdown-26oct01","chart_24h":[0.0,129.42],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","event_id":"KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","slug":"KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","question":"Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.\n\nExamples that would resolve the market to Yes:\n\nOMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to \"execute plans for an orderly shutdown,\" which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026\nOPM posts a current operating status that indicates that \"due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency\"\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:\n\nA technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations\nGovernment closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T20:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T14:00:00Z","volume":129.42,"volume_24hr":129.42,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":129.42,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.358675003051758,"normalized_volume":7.271833419799805,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:18:47.748057Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T02:17:38.349697Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T20:37:36.507624Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovtshutdown/government-shutdown-on-oct-1-2026/kxgovtshutdown-26oct01","event_title":"Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.37]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:22:11.566996Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?\" — top market at 37% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}