{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07","as_of":"2026-10-25T20:24:48.547886Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?\" — \"Byron Donalds\" leads at 53% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-25 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrahamdonalds/larger-margin-graham-or-donalds/kxgrahamdonalds-26dec07"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07","ticker":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07","slug":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07","title":"Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2571.98,"volume_24hr":2571.98,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.263757705688477,"normalized_volume":16.516202926635742,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2487.36,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Byron Donalds","top_outcome_probability":0.53,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.07,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":202.96000000000004,"updated_at":"2026-10-25T18:29:40.874127Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-25T18:29:40.874127Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:53:11.922120Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrahamdonalds/larger-margin-graham-or-donalds/kxgrahamdonalds-26dec07","chart_24h":[2369.02,2369.02,2451.22,2562.84,2571.98],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07-R-200","event_id":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07","slug":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07-R-200","question":"Will Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin be larger than Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Byron Donalds","description":"If Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election minus Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Graham Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-07T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2571.98,"volume_24hr":2571.98,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":202.96000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.823659896850586,"normalized_volume":19.196880340576172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-25T19:29:21.643029Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-25T19:29:21.643029Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:53:12.147990Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrahamdonalds/larger-margin-graham-or-donalds/kxgrahamdonalds-26dec07","event_title":"Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07-AL0","event_id":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07","slug":"KXGRAHAMDONALDS-26DEC07-AL0","question":"Will Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin be larger than Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?","group_item_title":"Darline Graham","description":"If Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election minus Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nEach candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Graham Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-23T23:50:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-07T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-25T17:15:28.886871Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-25T17:15:28.886871Z","added_at":"2026-10-23T23:53:12.147990Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrahamdonalds/larger-margin-graham-or-donalds/kxgrahamdonalds-26dec07","event_title":"Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}