{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","ticker":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1403576.27,"volume_24hr":4302.16,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.626449584960938,"normalized_volume":50.748313903808594,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":604477.16,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$0 / No Acquisition","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.029999999999999916,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-45.099999999999966,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.328093Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.328093Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","chart_24h":[711.15,569.15,355.15,357.15,356.55,356.55,358.76,334.48,326.48,744.48,812.28,824.38,925.53,924.53,953.53,973.53,974.88,981.88,926.75,932.75,931.57,1099.96,1051.96,1011.96,4412.92,4410.92,4368.54,4299.16],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ","event_id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ","question":"Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term?","group_item_title":"$0 / No Acquisition","description":"If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An \"Acquisition of Greenland\" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the \"$0 / No Acquisition\" bracket and No for all other brackets.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-22T04:59:00Z","volume":648042.62,"volume_24hr":333.05,"prob_24h_change":-0.029999999999999916,"volume_24h_change":-45.099999999999966,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.51289176940918,"normalized_volume":52.139774322509766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:04:06.000305Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.647464Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","event_title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","chart_24h":[0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-749B","event_id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-749B","question":"Will the U.S. pay between $600 billion and $899 billion for Greenland during Trump's term?","group_item_title":"$600 billion to $899 billion","description":"If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $600 billion to $899 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An \"Acquisition of Greenland\" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the \"$0 / No Acquisition\" bracket and No for all other brackets.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.044,0.956],"probability":0.044,"spread":0.012000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-22T04:59:00Z","volume":162951.66,"volume_24hr":110.15,"prob_24h_change":-0.012000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":100.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.929957866668701,"normalized_volume":41.93690872192383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:13:54.564278Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:11:59.102286Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","event_title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","chart_24h":[0.056,0.056,0.056,0.044,0.044,0.044,0.044]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-449B","event_id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-449B","question":"Will the U.S. pay between $300 billion and $599 billion for Greenland during Trump's term?","group_item_title":"$300 billion to $599 billion","description":"If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $300 billion to $599 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An \"Acquisition of Greenland\" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the \"$0 / No Acquisition\" bracket and No for all other brackets.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.019,0.981],"probability":0.019,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-22T04:59:00Z","volume":91735.22,"volume_24hr":3428.96,"prob_24h_change":-0.005000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":3398.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.692245483398438,"normalized_volume":38.017677307128906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.647464Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.647464Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","event_title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","chart_24h":[0.024,0.024,0.024,0.019,0.019,0.019]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-1049B","event_id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-1049B","question":"Will the U.S. pay between $900 billion and $1199 billion for Greenland during Trump's term?","group_item_title":"$900 billion to $1199 billion","description":"If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $900 billion to $1199 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An \"Acquisition of Greenland\" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the \"$0 / No Acquisition\" bracket and No for all other brackets.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-22T04:59:00Z","volume":117755.15,"volume_24hr":420.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.401941299438477,"normalized_volume":39.6973762512207,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:53:03.320914Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:11:59.102286Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","event_title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","chart_24h":[0.011,0.011,0.011,0.011]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-1200B","event_id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-1200B","question":"Will the U.S. pay at least $1200 billion for Greenland during Trump's term?","group_item_title":"$1.2 trillion or more","description":"If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is at_least $1200 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An \"Acquisition of Greenland\" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the \"$0 / No Acquisition\" bracket and No for all other brackets.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.005000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-22T04:59:00Z","volume":82423.75,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.005000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":-100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7955058813095093,"normalized_volume":37.30880355834961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:13:54.564278Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:11:59.102286Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","event_title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","chart_24h":[0.016,0.016,0.011,0.011]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-199B","event_id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-199B","question":"Will the U.S. pay between $100 billion and $299 billion for Greenland during Trump's term?","group_item_title":"$100 billion to $299 billion","description":"If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $100 billion to $299 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An \"Acquisition of Greenland\" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the \"$0 / No Acquisition\" bracket and No for all other brackets.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.049,0.951],"probability":0.049,"spread":0.012999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-22T04:59:00Z","volume":95974.76,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.31889724731445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.647464Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.647464Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","event_title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","chart_24h":[0.049,0.049,0.049]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-54B","event_id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-54B","question":"Will the U.S. pay between $10 billion and $99 billion for Greenland during Trump's term?","group_item_title":"$10 billion to $99 billion","description":"If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $10 billion to $99 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An \"Acquisition of Greenland\" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the \"$0 / No Acquisition\" bracket and No for all other brackets.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-22T04:59:00Z","volume":118473.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-48.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.73876190185547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:00:14.674381Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T09:00:14.674381Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","event_title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-5B","event_id":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","slug":"KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-5B","question":"Will the U.S. pay between $1 billion and $9 billion for Greenland during Trump's term?","group_item_title":"$1 billion to $9 billion","description":"If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $1 billion to $9 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An \"Acquisition of Greenland\" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the \"$0 / No Acquisition\" bracket and No for all other brackets.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-02-21T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-22T04:59:00Z","volume":86219.22,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.60615158081055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.647464Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:17.647464Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenlandprice/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/kxgreenlandprice-29jan21","event_title":"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?","chart_24h":[0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:04:21.538838Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How much will the US acquire Greenland for?\" — top market at 2% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}