{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","ticker":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","title":"Grok App Downloads in October 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.899984359741211,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":70.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 25","top_outcome_probability":0.95,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-51.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-03T02:19:41.439828Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T02:19:41.439828Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.113489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp/grok-app-downloads-in-october-2026/kxgrokapp-26nov08","chart_24h":[69.0,19.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T25","event_id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T25","question":"Will Grok App Downloads for October 2026 be above 25 ?","group_item_title":"Above 25","description":"If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 25 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Grok App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":51.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-51.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.8601202964782715,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T00:15:17.647332Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T00:15:17.647332Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp/grok-app-downloads-in-october-2026/kxgrokapp-26nov08","event_title":"Grok App Downloads in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.95,0.95,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T225","event_id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T225","question":"Will Grok App Downloads for October 2026 be above 225 ?","group_item_title":"Above 225","description":"If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 225 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Grok App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":19.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-19.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.793736219406128,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T02:19:41.603718Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T02:19:41.603718Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp/grok-app-downloads-in-october-2026/kxgrokapp-26nov08","event_title":"Grok App Downloads in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T125","event_id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T125","question":"Will Grok App Downloads for October 2026 be above 125 ?","group_item_title":"Above 125","description":"If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 125 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Grok App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T20:34:52.257254Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T20:34:52.257254Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp/grok-app-downloads-in-october-2026/kxgrokapp-26nov08","event_title":"Grok App Downloads in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T160","event_id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T160","question":"Will Grok App Downloads for October 2026 be above 160 ?","group_item_title":"Above 160","description":"If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 160 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Grok App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T05:52:45.410468Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T05:52:45.410468Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp/grok-app-downloads-in-october-2026/kxgrokapp-26nov08","event_title":"Grok App Downloads in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T550","event_id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T550","question":"Will Grok App Downloads for October 2026 be above 550 ?","group_item_title":"Above 550","description":"If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 550 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Grok App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T23:05:20.915640Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T23:05:20.915640Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp/grok-app-downloads-in-october-2026/kxgrokapp-26nov08","event_title":"Grok App Downloads in October 2026","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T60","event_id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T60","question":"Will Grok App Downloads for October 2026 be above 60 ?","group_item_title":"Above 60","description":"If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 60 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Grok App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T11:09:38.811125Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T11:09:38.811125Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp/grok-app-downloads-in-october-2026/kxgrokapp-26nov08","event_title":"Grok App Downloads in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T90","event_id":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXGROKAPP-26NOV08-T90","question":"Will Grok App Downloads for October 2026 be above 90 ?","group_item_title":"Above 90","description":"If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Grok App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T01:16:54.180850Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T01:16:54.180850Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgrokapp/grok-app-downloads-in-october-2026/kxgrokapp-26nov08","event_title":"Grok App Downloads in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGROKAPP-26NOV08","as_of":"2026-10-03T03:25:56.776645Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Grok App Downloads in October 2026\" — top market at 95% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}