{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-26","ticker":"KXGTEMP-26","slug":"KXGTEMP-26","title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-09T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136346.2,"volume_24hr":858.63,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.947484970092773,"normalized_volume":36.803802490234375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":64837.85,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hottest","top_outcome_probability":0.302,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.03300000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":768.34,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:29:42.062294Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:29:42.062294Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26","chart_24h":[90.29,78.67,78.67,107.17,248.1,250.9,246.33,249.17,290.63,262.22,262.22,270.78,285.42,293.82,293.82,433.5,434.18,432.18,439.99,446.14,858.63],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-26-P0","event_id":"KXGTEMP-26","slug":"KXGTEMP-26-P0","question":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.302,0.698],"probability":0.302,"spread":0.03400000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-09T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":136346.2,"volume_24hr":858.63,"prob_24h_change":-0.03300000000000003,"volume_24h_change":768.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.006040573120117,"normalized_volume":42.845272064208984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:55:02.099170Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:55:02.099170Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26","event_title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","chart_24h":[0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.305,0.305,0.303,0.303,0.304,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.32,0.32,0.335,0.309,0.309,0.309,0.335,0.304,0.304,0.303,0.303,0.302]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-26","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:20:36.527549Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?\" — top market at 30% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}