{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-26","ticker":"KXGTEMP-26","slug":"KXGTEMP-26","title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-09T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":332829.97,"volume_24hr":2252.58,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.5452880859375,"normalized_volume":43.967952728271484,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":115713.1,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hottest","top_outcome_probability":0.784,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.007000000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2121.0699999999997,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:14:12.008375Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:14:12.008375Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26","chart_24h":[4373.65,4344.33,4318.82,4318.71,4181.79,4004.88,4492.43,3613.28,3647.58,3848.23,3904.76,4012.35,3893.78,3891.93,3923.88,3888.74,3784.79,3853.46,3852.25,3876.42,3876.42,3965.17,3959.53,3908.52,3910.85,3926.85,3836.63,3830.45,3848.41,4018.56,2147.63,2199.36,2237.07,2194.55,2235.43,2296.27],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-26-P0","event_id":"KXGTEMP-26","slug":"KXGTEMP-26-P0","question":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.784,0.21599999999999997],"probability":0.784,"spread":0.01200000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-09T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":332829.97,"volume_24hr":2252.58,"prob_24h_change":-0.007000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":-2121.0699999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.927711486816406,"normalized_volume":50.33137130737305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:27:55.227472Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:27:55.227472Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26","event_title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","chart_24h":[0.791,0.792,0.79,0.79,0.801,0.79,0.804,0.819,0.791,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.804,0.791,0.792,0.819,0.819,0.819,0.803,0.803,0.791,0.791,0.791,0.818,0.797,0.792,0.792,0.792,0.796,0.796,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.769,0.77,0.77,0.784]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-26","as_of":"2026-09-08T18:36:42.778278Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?\" — top market at 78% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}