{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-26","ticker":"KXGTEMP-26","slug":"KXGTEMP-26","title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-09T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":202828.1,"volume_24hr":1622.5,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.43830680847168,"normalized_volume":33.36852264404297,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":97336.89,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hottest","top_outcome_probability":0.348,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.023999999999999966,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1164.25,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:45:25.343347Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:45:25.343347Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26","chart_24h":[458.25,455.38,429.64,367.14,421.95,404.03,406.72,426.07,440.72,454.42,457.42,462.15,462.15,476.15,443.06,472.05,327.31,322.15,1770.5,1622.5],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-26-P0","event_id":"KXGTEMP-26","slug":"KXGTEMP-26-P0","question":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.348,0.652],"probability":0.348,"spread":0.024999999999999967,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-09T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":202828.1,"volume_24hr":1622.5,"prob_24h_change":0.023999999999999966,"volume_24h_change":1164.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.87932014465332,"normalized_volume":38.86299133300781,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:46:52.122602Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:45:25.881322Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26","event_title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","chart_24h":[0.324,0.324,0.324,0.352,0.352,0.352,0.352,0.352,0.349,0.349,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.327,0.349,0.349,0.349,0.349,0.349,0.349,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.348,0.348,0.348,0.348]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-26","as_of":"2026-07-25T14:52:34.335145Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?\" — top market at 35% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}