{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-26","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:09:26.776204Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?\" — 77% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-26","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-26","ticker":"KXGTEMP-26","slug":"KXGTEMP-26","title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-09T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":432402.46,"volume_24hr":2451.13,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.330604553222656,"normalized_volume":45.10871887207031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":114926.99,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hottest","top_outcome_probability":0.77,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2137.46,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:45:07.867449Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:45:07.867449Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26","chart_24h":[308.41,373.41,373.06,569.06,559.26,552.45,382.48,597.19,603.05,747.14,1747.14,1774.95,1877.92,1941.06,1938.05,1966.07,1963.02,2025.96,2036.49,2036.49,2037.87,2173.28,2175.66,2309.16,2451.13],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-26-P0","event_id":"KXGTEMP-26","slug":"KXGTEMP-26-P0","question":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.0030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-09T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":432402.46,"volume_24hr":2451.13,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":2137.46,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.786903381347656,"normalized_volume":52.42466354370117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:45:08.085391Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:45:08.085391Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-26","event_title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","chart_24h":[0.74,0.74,0.749,0.749,0.739,0.739,0.739,0.739,0.75,0.744,0.758,0.74,0.74,0.753,0.76,0.758,0.758,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.759,0.76,0.76,0.768,0.763,0.766,0.77]}]}