{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-27","ticker":"KXGTEMP-27","slug":"KXGTEMP-27","title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-22T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23960.33,"volume_24hr":45.49,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.6135759353637695,"normalized_volume":27.654096603393555,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4282.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hottest","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-151.91,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:39:05.728368Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:39:05.728368Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-27","chart_24h":[193.4,188.4,164.4,164.4,175.17,91.17,42.58,33.58,41.49],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-27-P0","event_id":"KXGTEMP-27","slug":"KXGTEMP-27-P0","question":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-22T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":23960.33,"volume_24hr":45.49,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-151.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.93570613861084,"normalized_volume":31.65643310546875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:39:06.067045Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:39:06.067045Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-27","event_title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.76]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-27","as_of":"2026-09-08T19:42:03.039393Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?\" — top market at 76% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}