{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-27","ticker":"KXGTEMP-27","slug":"KXGTEMP-27","title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-22T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14302.61,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.457508087158203,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2627.3,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hottest","top_outcome_probability":0.36,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-241.77,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T03:14:06.573237Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T03:14:06.573237Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-27","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-27-P0","event_id":"KXGTEMP-27","slug":"KXGTEMP-27-P0","question":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-22T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":14302.61,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-241.77,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.8260440826416,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:06:26.257321Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T08:16:57.183513Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-27","event_title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-27","as_of":"2026-07-25T14:00:47.772260Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?\" — top market at 36% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}