{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-27","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:57:19.302069Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?\" — 75% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGTEMP-27","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-27"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-27","ticker":"KXGTEMP-27","slug":"KXGTEMP-27","title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-22T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29891.29,"volume_24hr":585.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.557860374450684,"normalized_volume":28.446590423583984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4824.1,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hottest","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":571.62,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:01:24.843730Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:01:24.843730Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-27","chart_24h":[16.55,3.07,585.1],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGTEMP-27-P0","event_id":"KXGTEMP-27","slug":"KXGTEMP-27-P0","question":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","group_item_title":"Hottest","description":"If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-22T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":29891.29,"volume_24hr":585.1,"prob_24h_change":0.050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":571.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.195892333984375,"normalized_volume":33.0601921081543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:16:17.194122Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:16:17.194122Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgtemp/will-2026-be-the-hottest-year-ever/kxgtemp-27","event_title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?","chart_24h":[0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.75]}]}