{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","ticker":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","slug":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","title":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10681.48,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.657569885253906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1585.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"National Unity of Hope","top_outcome_probability":0.3,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T04:05:25.302809Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T04:05:25.302809Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxguatemalacongress/who-will-win-the-next-guatemalan-congressional-election/kxguatemalacongress-27","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-UNE","event_id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","slug":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-UNE","question":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","group_item_title":"National Unity of Hope","description":"If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is National Unity of Hope, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","volume":6478.48,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.609285354614258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Guatemala"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:54:44.576835Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxguatemalacongress/who-will-win-the-next-guatemalan-congressional-election/kxguatemalacongress-27","event_title":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-VAMOS","event_id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","slug":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-VAMOS","question":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","group_item_title":"Vamos","description":"If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is Vamos, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.10999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","volume":4124.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.242238998413086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Guatemala"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:54:44.576835Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxguatemalacongress/who-will-win-the-next-guatemalan-congressional-election/kxguatemalacongress-27","event_title":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-SEMILLA","event_id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","slug":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-SEMILLA","question":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","group_item_title":"Movimiento Semilla","description":"If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is Movimiento Semilla, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","volume":78.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.851990222930908,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Guatemala"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:07:56.411505Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T15:34:29.553739Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxguatemalacongress/who-will-win-the-next-guatemalan-congressional-election/kxguatemalacongress-27","event_title":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-VIVA","event_id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","slug":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-VIVA","question":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","group_item_title":"Vision with Values","description":"If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is Vision with Values, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.073,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14726562798023224,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Guatemala"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:07:56.411505Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T15:34:29.553739Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxguatemalacongress/who-will-win-the-next-guatemalan-congressional-election/kxguatemalacongress-27","event_title":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-CABAL","event_id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","slug":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-CABAL","question":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","group_item_title":"Cabal","description":"If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is Cabal, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.092,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Guatemala"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:07:56.411505Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T15:34:29.553739Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxguatemalacongress/who-will-win-the-next-guatemalan-congressional-election/kxguatemalacongress-27","event_title":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-TODOS","event_id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","slug":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-TODOS","question":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","group_item_title":"Todos","description":"If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is Todos, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.073,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Guatemala"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:07:56.411505Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T15:34:29.553739Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxguatemalacongress/who-will-win-the-next-guatemalan-congressional-election/kxguatemalacongress-27","event_title":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-VALOR","event_id":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","slug":"KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27-VALOR","question":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","group_item_title":"Valor","description":"If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is Valor, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.092,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-16T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-08-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Guatemala"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:07:56.411505Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T15:34:29.553739Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxguatemalacongress/who-will-win-the-next-guatemalan-congressional-election/kxguatemalacongress-27","event_title":"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGUATEMALACONGRESS-27","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:34:47.823747Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?\" — top market at 30% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}