{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","ticker":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","slug":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","title":"Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29842.989999999998,"volume_24hr":29842.989999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.101707458496094,"normalized_volume":29.270191192626953,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":18151.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"John Hart","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.88,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10414.99,"updated_at":"2026-08-21T01:53:58.268360Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T01:53:58.268360Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:26:48.959248Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgwwairarapa/greater-wellington-wairarapa-by-election-winner/kxgwwairarapa-26aug21","chart_24h":[0.0,21.0,69.0,3374.0,3674.0,29842.989999999998],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-JHAR","event_id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","slug":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-JHAR","question":"Will John Hart win the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election?","group_item_title":"John Hart","description":"If John Hart wins the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOne member is elected to the Wairarapa General Constituency by single transferable vote. The candidate declared the winner by Greater Wellington Regional Council, the relevant electoral authority, resolves to YES; every other candidate resolves to NO.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nResolution follows the official declaration of the result, not the progressive or preliminary counts released on election day\nFirst-preference standings do NOT determine resolution; the winner is the candidate elected after all transfers are counted\nIf results are annulled by a court or authority after announcement but before the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration\nIf the by-election is postponed, the Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","volume":10414.99,"volume_24hr":10414.99,"prob_24h_change":0.88,"volume_24h_change":10414.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.04170608520508,"normalized_volume":26.641942977905273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T01:57:48.291414Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T01:53:58.549071Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:26:49.545653Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgwwairarapa/greater-wellington-wairarapa-by-election-winner/kxgwwairarapa-26aug21","event_title":"Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-COLD","event_id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","slug":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-COLD","question":"Will Colin Olds win the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election?","group_item_title":"Colin Olds","description":"If Colin Olds wins the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOne member is elected to the Wairarapa General Constituency by single transferable vote. The candidate declared the winner by Greater Wellington Regional Council, the relevant electoral authority, resolves to YES; every other candidate resolves to NO.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nResolution follows the official declaration of the result, not the progressive or preliminary counts released on election day\nFirst-preference standings do NOT determine resolution; the winner is the candidate elected after all transfers are counted\nIf results are annulled by a court or authority after announcement but before the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration\nIf the by-election is postponed, the Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","volume":1416.0,"volume_24hr":1416.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":1416.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.94377326965332,"normalized_volume":16.39115333557129,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T01:57:48.291414Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T01:53:58.549071Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:26:49.545653Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgwwairarapa/greater-wellington-wairarapa-by-election-winner/kxgwwairarapa-26aug21","event_title":"Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-APLI","event_id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","slug":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-APLI","question":"Will Alistair Plimmer win the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election?","group_item_title":"Alistair Plimmer","description":"If Alistair Plimmer wins the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOne member is elected to the Wairarapa General Constituency by single transferable vote. The candidate declared the winner by Greater Wellington Regional Council, the relevant electoral authority, resolves to YES; every other candidate resolves to NO.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nResolution follows the official declaration of the result, not the progressive or preliminary counts released on election day\nFirst-preference standings do NOT determine resolution; the winner is the candidate elected after all transfers are counted\nIf results are annulled by a court or authority after announcement but before the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration\nIf the by-election is postponed, the Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","volume":3010.0,"volume_24hr":3010.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":3010.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.520713806152344,"normalized_volume":19.973188400268555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T01:57:48.291414Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T01:53:58.549071Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:26:49.545653Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgwwairarapa/greater-wellington-wairarapa-by-election-winner/kxgwwairarapa-26aug21","event_title":"Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-ACRA","event_id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","slug":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-ACRA","question":"Will Amber Craig win the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election?","group_item_title":"Amber Craig","description":"If Amber Craig wins the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOne member is elected to the Wairarapa General Constituency by single transferable vote. The candidate declared the winner by Greater Wellington Regional Council, the relevant electoral authority, resolves to YES; every other candidate resolves to NO.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nResolution follows the official declaration of the result, not the progressive or preliminary counts released on election day\nFirst-preference standings do NOT determine resolution; the winner is the candidate elected after all transfers are counted\nIf results are annulled by a court or authority after announcement but before the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration\nIf the by-election is postponed, the Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","volume":5456.0,"volume_24hr":5456.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":5456.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.4504337310791,"normalized_volume":23.048690795898438,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T01:57:48.291414Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T01:53:58.549071Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:26:49.545653Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgwwairarapa/greater-wellington-wairarapa-by-election-winner/kxgwwairarapa-26aug21","event_title":"Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-JGRE","event_id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","slug":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-JGRE","question":"Will Jill Greathead win the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election?","group_item_title":"Jill Greathead","description":"If Jill Greathead wins the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOne member is elected to the Wairarapa General Constituency by single transferable vote. The candidate declared the winner by Greater Wellington Regional Council, the relevant electoral authority, resolves to YES; every other candidate resolves to NO.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nResolution follows the official declaration of the result, not the progressive or preliminary counts released on election day\nFirst-preference standings do NOT determine resolution; the winner is the candidate elected after all transfers are counted\nIf results are annulled by a court or authority after announcement but before the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration\nIf the by-election is postponed, the Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","volume":5276.0,"volume_24hr":5276.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":5276.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.221281051635742,"normalized_volume":22.86935043334961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T01:57:48.291414Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T01:53:58.549071Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:26:49.545653Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgwwairarapa/greater-wellington-wairarapa-by-election-winner/kxgwwairarapa-26aug21","event_title":"Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-MBIR","event_id":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","slug":"KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21-MBIR","question":"Will Michael Birch win the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election?","group_item_title":"Michael Birch","description":"If Michael Birch wins the 2026 Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOne member is elected to the Wairarapa General Constituency by single transferable vote. The candidate declared the winner by Greater Wellington Regional Council, the relevant electoral authority, resolves to YES; every other candidate resolves to NO.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.\n\nResolution follows the official declaration of the result, not the progressive or preliminary counts released on election day\nFirst-preference standings do NOT determine resolution; the winner is the candidate elected after all transfers are counted\nIf results are annulled by a court or authority after announcement but before the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration\nIf the by-election is postponed, the Contract remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-21T14:00:00Z","volume":4270.0,"volume_24hr":4270.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":4270.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.796886444091797,"normalized_volume":21.754581451416016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-08-21T01:57:48.291414Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-21T01:53:58.549071Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T00:26:49.545653Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgwwairarapa/greater-wellington-wairarapa-by-election-winner/kxgwwairarapa-26aug21","event_title":"Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXGWWAIRARAPA-26AUG21","as_of":"2026-08-21T02:06:03.386107Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?\" — top market at 88% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}