{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHAITITPS-26AUG","ticker":"KXHAITITPS-26AUG","slug":"KXHAITITPS-26AUG","title":"Will the Supreme Court let Trump terminate Haiti TPS?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5428.19,"volume_24hr":5428.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.795560836791992,"normalized_volume":19.276912689208984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3012.28,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.85,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.85,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5428.19,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T21:44:13.398186Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T21:44:13.398186Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T19:38:52.150101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhaititps/will-the-supreme-court-let-trump-terminate-haiti-tps/kxhaititps-26aug","chart_24h":[0.0,236.42,237.42,638.42,4555.12,5428.19],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHAITITPS-26AUG","event_id":"KXHAITITPS-26AUG","slug":"KXHAITITPS-26AUG","question":"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Donald J. Trump in Trump v. Miot","group_item_title":"Before 2026","description":"If the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Miot, rules that the Secretary of Homeland Security may terminate Haiti’s Temporary Protected Status designation notwithstanding respondents’ APA and equal-protection challenges, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has issued a decision holding that the Secretary of Homeland Security’s termination of Haiti’s Temporary Protected Status designation is not barred by respondents’ Administrative Procedure Act or equal-protection challenges, either because those APA claims are unreviewable under 8 U.S.C. § 1254a(b)(5)(A) or because the APA and equal-protection claims fail on the merits. The market resolves to No if the Court dismisses the case, DIGs the writ, remands without deciding whether the Haiti TPS termination may lawfully take effect against those challenges, or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling sufficient to uphold the termination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-15T19:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","volume":5428.19,"volume_24hr":5428.19,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":5428.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.051366806030273,"normalized_volume":21.532625198364258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Haiti"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T22:23:54.871751Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T22:23:54.871751Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T19:38:52.346216Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhaititps/will-the-supreme-court-let-trump-terminate-haiti-tps/kxhaititps-26aug","event_title":"Will the Supreme Court let Trump terminate Haiti TPS?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHAITITPS-26AUG","as_of":"2026-06-16T22:37:22.197137Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the Supreme Court let Trump terminate Haiti TPS?\" — top market at 85% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}