{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29","ticker":"KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29","slug":"KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29","title":"First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":400.01,"volume_24hr":400.01,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.465047836303711,"normalized_volume":9.87189769744873,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":400.01,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.66,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.66,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":400.01,"updated_at":"2026-08-24T23:45:45.493939Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T23:45:45.493939Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T14:08:33.261627Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxharvardfundappeal/first-circuit-fully-affirms-harvard-funding-ruling/kxharvardfundappeal-hhs29","chart_24h":[0.0,400.01],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29","event_id":"KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29","slug":"KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29","question":"Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard?","group_item_title":"Before 2029","description":"If the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard in President and Fellows of Harvard College v. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, No. 25-2230 (1st Cir.) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA qualifying ruling must be a written order, opinion, judgment or decision of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit disposing of the government's appeal in President and Fellows of Harvard College v. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, No. 25-2230 (1st Cir.). The companion appeal No. 25-2231 (American Association of University Professors, et al. v. U.S. Department of Justice, et al.), arising from the related district court case No. 1:25-cv-10910 (D. Mass.) and briefed on the same schedule, counts only where the same disposition also disposes of No. 25-2230.\n\n\"In its entirety\" means the court affirms the judgment and reverses, vacates, modifies or remands no part of it. These resolve to NO:\n\nA disposition affirming in part and reversing, vacating, modifying or remanding in part, however small the part, including a partial ruling that some or all of Harvard's claims belong exclusively in the Court of Federal Claims under the Tucker Act\nReversal or vacatur of the whole judgment\nDismissal of the appeal for lack of jurisdiction or on any other ground\nDismissal of the appeal on mootness grounds, including a Munsingwear vacatur\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nOral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order\nTentative rulings that are not made final\nDraft opinions that leak but are not officially issued\nSettlements or voluntary dismissals\nAdministrative or scheduling orders\nOrders to show cause\nMinute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment\n\nA qualifying ruling settles the market when issued; a later grant of rehearing, rehearing en banc or Supreme Court review does NOT unwind it.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":400.01,"volume_24hr":400.01,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":400.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.355530738830566,"normalized_volume":11.184353828430176,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T00:17:44.987152Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T00:17:44.987152Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T14:08:33.519969Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxharvardfundappeal/first-circuit-fully-affirms-harvard-funding-ruling/kxharvardfundappeal-hhs29","event_title":"First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.66,0.66]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29","as_of":"2026-08-25T06:13:19.174260Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?\" — top market at 66% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}