{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","ticker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:23Z","volume":208568.66,"volume_24hr":192506.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.317237854003906,"normalized_volume":40.474952697753906,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":164503.96,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.31999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12423.96,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:40.893574Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:40.893574Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.926489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","chart_24h":[28919.66,30357.65,34961.01,37951.15,42852.18,88200.98,155867.61000000002,175944.17,177079.96,186616.39,189930.67,190192.15,190048.79,190102.21,189106.38,189138.35,188873.93,188759.46,188723.24,188476.72,188120.47,189747.53,188454.13,188527.23,190559.88,190036.13,192506.1],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-AI","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-AI","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","description":"If Pete Hegseth says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:14Z","volume":14248.49,"volume_24hr":13766.75,"prob_24h_change":0.31999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":12423.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.65632629394531,"normalized_volume":29.682340621948242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.67,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.47,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-AMER","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-AMER","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"America First","description":"If Pete Hegseth says America First as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:09Z","volume":14243.11,"volume_24hr":12857.95,"prob_24h_change":0.39,"volume_24h_change":10249.44,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.17572021484375,"normalized_volume":29.679996490478516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-CHIN","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-CHIN","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"China / Chinese","description":"If Pete Hegseth says China / Chinese as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:15Z","volume":3823.08,"volume_24hr":2906.76,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":1268.5300000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.5694637298584,"normalized_volume":22.07933807373047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-LETH","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-LETH","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Lethal","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Lethal as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:09Z","volume":8046.7,"volume_24hr":6837.75,"prob_24h_change":0.19999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":5308.45,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.895490646362305,"normalized_volume":26.242101669311523,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.79,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NATI","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NATI","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"National Security","description":"If Pete Hegseth says National Security as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:14Z","volume":4710.62,"volume_24hr":4254.39,"prob_24h_change":0.42000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":3438.8900000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.874027252197266,"normalized_volume":23.210752487182617,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.53,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NATO","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NATO","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"NATO","description":"If Pete Hegseth says NATO as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:09Z","volume":5760.63,"volume_24hr":5518.68,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":4105.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.510101318359375,"normalized_volume":24.32813262939453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NUCL","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NUCL","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Nuclear","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Nuclear as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:15Z","volume":8612.22,"volume_24hr":8029.06,"prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":6819.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.956022262573242,"normalized_volume":26.63993263244629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TAIW","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TAIW","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Taiwan","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Taiwan as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:09Z","volume":25482.0,"volume_24hr":20247.68,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":14380.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.4361686706543,"normalized_volume":33.399925231933594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.27,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TER","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TER","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Terrorist / Terrorism","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Terrorist / Terrorism as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:09Z","volume":10936.01,"volume_24hr":10386.99,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":9540.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.696184158325195,"normalized_volume":28.062931060791016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TRUM","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TRUM","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Trump (3+ times)","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Trump (3+ times) as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:09Z","volume":6536.06,"volume_24hr":5091.0,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":2336.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.99750518798828,"normalized_volume":25.042821884155273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-VENE","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-VENE","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Venezuela","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Venezuela as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:09Z","volume":8934.41,"volume_24hr":8516.61,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":7645.860000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.350088119506836,"normalized_volume":26.85630989074707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-CEAS","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-CEAS","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Ceasefire","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Ceasefire as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:15Z","volume":25977.87,"volume_24hr":25641.83,"prob_24h_change":-0.27999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":24519.980000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.192501068115234,"normalized_volume":33.52693176269531,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-DRON","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-DRON","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Drone","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Drone as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T15:15:23Z","volume":23051.52,"volume_24hr":22776.29,"prob_24h_change":-0.67,"volume_24h_change":22129.89,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.30609893798828,"normalized_volume":32.743228912353516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.68,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.4,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NQE","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NQE","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:14Z","volume":3564.18,"volume_24hr":2985.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":1910.6000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.727378845214844,"normalized_volume":21.705657958984375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-OIL","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-OIL","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Oil","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Oil as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:14Z","volume":18522.47,"volume_24hr":17837.84,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":16414.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.51090621948242,"normalized_volume":31.332815170288086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.24,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-RUSS","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-RUSS","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Russia / Russian","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Russia / Russian as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:15Z","volume":9392.77,"volume_24hr":9005.65,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":7045.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.725692749023438,"normalized_volume":27.152463912963867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-UKRA","event_id":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","slug":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-UKRA","question":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","group_item_title":"Ukraine","description":"If Pete Hegseth says Ukraine as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Pete Hegseth speaking in an official capacity. If Pete Hegseth is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T02:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-30T05:05:15Z","volume":16726.52,"volume_24hr":15845.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":14049.39,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.65687942504883,"normalized_volume":30.685840606689453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:27:33.181367Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T15:28:41.004612Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T02:04:46.989656Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethmention/what-will-pete-hegseth-say-during-his-iiss-shangri-la-dialogue-address/kxhegsethmention-26may29","event_title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:43:15.456741Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?\" — top market at 1% probability across 17 outcomes","source_url":null}}