{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","ticker":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","slug":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":583994.28,"volume_24hr":3598.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.760671615600586,"normalized_volume":44.655174255371094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":298670.28,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Sep 1, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.21,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999981,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2854.65,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:03:34.268748Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:03:34.268748Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethout/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense/kxhegsethout-26apr","chart_24h":[6716.46,6516.46,6157.09,6147.05,5861.04,5242.66,5253.29,4914.79,4741.26,4554.17,4721.7,4848.4800000000005,4534.56,4326.27,4318.05,4378.849999999999,4919.82,5092.32,5771.74,5121.59,2929.89,3134.82,3731.8999999999996,3731.7799999999997,3749.6699999999996,3777.75,3778.75,3620.6,3607.13,3523.21,3497.5299999999997],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-SEP01","event_id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","slug":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-SEP01","question":"Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":130233.43,"volume_24hr":2064.94,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":-2854.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.198375701904297,"normalized_volume":40.38518524169922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:04:06.000305Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:03:34.400294Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethout/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense/kxhegsethout-26apr","event_title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-AUG01","event_id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","slug":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-AUG01","question":"Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2026","description":"If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":97035.65,"volume_24hr":1169.4,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":-82.54999999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.589783668518066,"normalized_volume":38.392372131347656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:16:56.950261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:50:35.924349Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethout/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense/kxhegsethout-26apr","event_title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-JUL01","event_id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","slug":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-JUL01","question":"Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.044,0.956],"probability":0.044,"spread":0.025999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":187661.97,"volume_24hr":363.91,"prob_24h_change":-0.008,"volume_24h_change":-81.00999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.870661735534668,"normalized_volume":42.929447174072266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:16:56.950261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T08:48:23.169326Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethout/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense/kxhegsethout-26apr","event_title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?","chart_24h":[0.052,0.052,0.052,0.052,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.043,0.043,0.043,0.043,0.046,0.046,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.044,0.044,0.044,0.044]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-MAY01","event_id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","slug":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-MAY01","question":"Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before May 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before May 1, 2026","description":"If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.009,0.991],"probability":0.009,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-05-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","volume":92629.58,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.0822639465332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethout/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense/kxhegsethout-26apr","event_title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-JUN01","event_id":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","slug":"KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-JUN01","question":"Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jun 1, 2026","description":"If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":76433.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.813106536865234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T04:04:32.292789Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T14:41:35.907919Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhegsethout/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense/kxhegsethout-26apr","event_title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:17:13.085413Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?\" — top market at 21% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}