{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHHSYOUTHCARE-26OCT20","ticker":"KXHHSYOUTHCARE-26OCT20","slug":"KXHHSYOUTHCARE-26OCT20","title":"Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1572.0,"volume_24hr":1572.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.838483810424805,"normalized_volume":14.747505187988281,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1572.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.61,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.61,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1572.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T01:22:55.888462Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T01:22:55.888462Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T16:08:40.805622Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhhsyouthcare/will-hhss-youth-gender-care-policy-take-effect-oct-13/kxhhsyouthcare-26oct20","chart_24h":[0.0,1352.0,1572.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHHSYOUTHCARE-26OCT20","event_id":"KXHHSYOUTHCARE-26OCT20","slug":"KXHHSYOUTHCARE-26OCT20","question":"Will HHS's transgender Medicaid rule take effect Oct. 13?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If the taking effect of CMS-2451-F in at least one U.S. jurisdiction on October 13, 2026 is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.\n\nNews confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states the taking effect of CMS-2451-F in at least one U.S. jurisdiction on October 13, 2026 occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.\n\nFor this market, taking effect means CMS-2451-F operates in at least one U.S. jurisdiction on Oct. 13. Announcement, publication, or scheduling alone does not qualify. Nationwide relief preventing operation anywhere in the United States that day means No; limited relief does not if the rule operates elsewhere. The existing hormone-therapy taper and continued mental-health funding do not negate legal effect.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.61,0.39],"probability":0.61,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-20T03:59:00Z","volume":1572.0,"volume_24hr":1572.0,"prob_24h_change":0.61,"volume_24h_change":1572.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.05592155456543,"normalized_volume":16.866397857666016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T04:04:17.738052Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T04:04:17.738052Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T16:08:40.935309Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhhsyouthcare/will-hhss-youth-gender-care-policy-take-effect-oct-13/kxhhsyouthcare-26oct20","event_title":"Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHHSYOUTHCARE-26OCT20","as_of":"2026-09-05T05:19:45.913327Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?\" — top market at 61% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}