{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","ticker":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","slug":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","title":"Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8679.09,"volume_24hr":8648.09,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.923839569091797,"normalized_volume":22.256832122802734,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6849.08,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"96° to 97°","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":163.63,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T18:47:59.979907Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T18:47:59.979907Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:11.598603Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-jul-15-2026/kxhighchi-26jul15","chart_24h":[1456.75,2391.95,2608.77,3725.1,4084.2,8022.74,8445.07,8545.59,8648.09],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-B96.5","event_id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","slug":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-B96.5","question":"Will the high temp in Chicago be 96-97° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"96° to 97°","description":"If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 15, 2026, is between 96-97° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:59:00Z","volume":316.63,"volume_24hr":316.63,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":163.63,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.140954971313477,"normalized_volume":9.308023452758789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T18:34:17.917154Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T18:32:50.291622Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:11.715971Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-jul-15-2026/kxhighchi-26jul15","event_title":"Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-T96","event_id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","slug":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-T96","question":"Will the high temp in Chicago be <96° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"95° or below","description":"If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 15, 2026, is less than 96° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:59:00Z","volume":1509.08,"volume_24hr":1508.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1443.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.98363494873047,"normalized_volume":15.027652740478516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T18:49:23.543684Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T18:48:00.140129Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:11.715971Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-jul-15-2026/kxhighchi-26jul15","event_title":"Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.4,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-B98.5","event_id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","slug":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-B98.5","question":"Will the high temp in Chicago be 98-99° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"98° to 99°","description":"If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 15, 2026, is between 98-99° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:59:00Z","volume":834.07,"volume_24hr":804.07,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":694.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.028531074523926,"normalized_volume":12.693696975708008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T18:49:23.543684Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T18:48:00.140129Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:11.715971Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-jul-15-2026/kxhighchi-26jul15","event_title":"Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-B100.5","event_id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","slug":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-B100.5","question":"Will the high temp in Chicago be 100-101° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"100° to 101°","description":"If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 15, 2026, is between 100-101° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:59:00Z","volume":669.0,"volume_24hr":669.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":173.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.214852333068848,"normalized_volume":11.87619686126709,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T18:18:39.065851Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T18:17:05.423040Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:11.715971Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-jul-15-2026/kxhighchi-26jul15","event_title":"Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-B102.5","event_id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","slug":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-B102.5","question":"Will the high temp in Chicago be 102-103° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"102° to 103°","description":"If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 15, 2026, is between 102-103° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:59:00Z","volume":1989.75,"volume_24hr":1989.75,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1468.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.37064552307129,"normalized_volume":16.183748245239258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T18:01:14.184339Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T18:01:14.184339Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:11.715971Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-jul-15-2026/kxhighchi-26jul15","event_title":"Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-T103","event_id":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","slug":"KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15-T103","question":"Will the high temp in Chicago be >103° on Jul 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"104° or above","description":"If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 15, 2026, is greater than 103° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T05:59:00Z","volume":3360.56,"volume_24hr":3360.56,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":3249.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.134660720825195,"normalized_volume":18.493024826049805,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T18:17:05.423040Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T18:17:05.423040Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T14:09:11.715971Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-jul-15-2026/kxhighchi-26jul15","event_title":"Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHIGHCHI-26JUL15","as_of":"2026-07-14T18:57:54.018029Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?\" — top market at 1% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}