{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","ticker":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","slug":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 4, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2033.41,"volume_24hr":2033.41,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.74744987487793,"normalized_volume":16.463096618652344,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1454.81,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"82° to 83°","top_outcome_probability":0.35,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.35,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":130.29,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:19:00.446669Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T20:19:00.446669Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T14:01:21.401034Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhightmin/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-jul-4-2026/kxhightmin-26jul04","chart_24h":[0.0,177.8,625.56,665.14,781.79,1183.79,1330.79,1606.41,1928.41,1962.41,2033.41],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-B82.5","event_id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","slug":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-B82.5","question":"Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Jul 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"82° to 83°","description":"If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 4, 2026, is between 82-83° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Minneapolis/St Paul, MN\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T06:00:00Z","volume":130.29,"volume_24hr":130.29,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":130.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.849167823791504,"normalized_volume":7.035769939422607,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:33:00.326981Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T20:33:00.326981Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T14:01:21.490315Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhightmin/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-jul-4-2026/kxhightmin-26jul04","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-B80.5","event_id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","slug":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-B80.5","question":"Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Jul 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"80° to 81°","description":"If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 4, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Minneapolis/St Paul, MN\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T06:00:00Z","volume":327.8,"volume_24hr":327.8,"prob_24h_change":0.3,"volume_24h_change":327.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.082036972045898,"normalized_volume":9.933622360229492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:38.836970Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:40:38.836970Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T14:01:21.490315Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhightmin/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-jul-4-2026/kxhightmin-26jul04","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.36,0.13,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-B78.5","event_id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","slug":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-B78.5","question":"Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Jul 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"78° to 79°","description":"If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 4, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Minneapolis/St Paul, MN\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T06:00:00Z","volume":203.76,"volume_24hr":203.76,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":203.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.344772338867188,"normalized_volume":8.376387596130371,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T18:36:19.284600Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T18:35:36.247487Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T14:01:21.490315Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhightmin/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-jul-4-2026/kxhightmin-26jul04","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.24,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-T78","event_id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","slug":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-T78","question":"Will the maximum temperature be <78° on Jul 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"77° or below","description":"If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 4, 2026, is less than 78° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Minneapolis/St Paul, MN\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T06:00:00Z","volume":675.0,"volume_24hr":675.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":675.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.009840965270996,"normalized_volume":12.558022499084473,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:33:00.326981Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T20:33:00.326981Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T14:01:21.490315Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhightmin/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-jul-4-2026/kxhightmin-26jul04","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-B84.5","event_id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","slug":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-B84.5","question":"Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Jul 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"84° to 85°","description":"If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 4, 2026, is between 84-85° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Minneapolis/St Paul, MN\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T06:00:00Z","volume":192.0,"volume_24hr":192.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":192.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.138205528259277,"normalized_volume":8.191226959228516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T20:20:52.488118Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T20:19:00.560379Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T14:01:21.490315Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhightmin/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-jul-4-2026/kxhightmin-26jul04","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-T85","event_id":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","slug":"KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04-T85","question":"Will the maximum temperature be >85° on Jul 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"86° or above","description":"If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 85° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nData for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Minneapolis/St Paul, MN\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-03T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T06:00:00Z","volume":504.56,"volume_24hr":504.56,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":504.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.78842544555664,"normalized_volume":11.463179588317871,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T19:54:13.682988Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T19:53:28.149796Z","added_at":"2026-07-03T14:01:21.490315Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhightmin/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-jul-4-2026/kxhightmin-26jul04","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 4, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXHIGHTMIN-26JUL04","as_of":"2026-07-03T20:42:27.363367Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 4, 2026?\" — top market at 11% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}